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The World Trade Organisation's Doha Cotton Initiative: A Tale of Two Issues

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Author Info
Kym Anderson
Ernesto Valenzuela

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Abstract

Four West African nations have demanded that the WTO's Doha Development Agenda include a Cotton Initiative that involves two issues: cutting cotton subsidies and tariffs, and assisting farm productivity growth in Africa. This paper provides estimates of the potential economic impacts of (a) complete or partial removal of cotton subsidies and import tariffs globally and (b) cotton productivity growth through the adoption of genetically modified (GM) cotton varieties. Use is made of the GTAP database and global economic model to address both these issues. On Doha, our results confirm that for cotton - unlike for other agricultural subsidies and tariffs - it is subsidy reductions rather than tariff cuts that would make by far the largest impact. For Sub-Saharan Africa the potential gains are huge relative to the effects on that region of reforming other merchandise trade policies. And they could be more than doubled if that reform provided the cash for farmers to take advantage of the biotechnology revolution and adopt GM cotton varieties. But those potential gains, and the affordability of switching to costly GM seed, depend crucially on the extent to which high-income countries are willing to lower domestic support to their cotton farmers. Copyright 2007 The Authors
Journal compilation 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd .

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/links/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9701.2007.01053.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal World Economy.

Volume (Year): 30 (2007)
Issue (Month): 8 (08)
Pages: 1281-1304
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Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:30:y:2007:i:8:p:1281-1304

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0378-5920

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Kym Anderson & Lee Ann Jackson, 2005. "Some Implications of GM Food Technology Policies for Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 385-410, September.
  2. Anderson, Kym & Martin, Will & Valenzuela, Ernesto, 2006. "The relative importance of global agricultural subsidies and market access," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(03), pages 357-376, November. [Downloadable!]
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  3. John Baffes, 2005. "The "Cotton Problem"," World Bank Research Observer, Oxford University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 109-144.
  4. Anderson, Kym & Martin, Will & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2005. "Would multilateral trade reform benefit Sub-Saharan Africans?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3616, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Kym Anderson & Will Martin, 2005. "Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(9), pages 1301-1327, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Harald Grethe, 2006. "Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press for the Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 33(4), pages 591-595, December.
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  1. Anderson, Kym & Valenzuela, Ernesto & Jackson, Lee Ann, 2006. "Recent and prospective adoption of genetically modified cotton : a global computable general equilibrium analysis of economic impacts," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3917, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Kym Anderson & Ernesto Valenzuela, 2007. "Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country Farmers?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 108-139, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Shepherd, Ben & Delpeuch, Claire, 2007. "Subsidies and regulatory reform in West African cotton: What are the development stakes?," MPRA Paper 2289, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Anderson, Kym & Valenzuela, Ernesto & Van Der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2009. "Welfare and Poverty Effects of Global Agricultural and Trade Policies Using the Linkage Model," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper 52785, World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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