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Testing Wage And Price Phillips Curves For The United States Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Peter Flaschel
Göran Kauermann
Willi Semmler
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This paper demonstrates how the labour and product markets interact in determining as outcome a generalized reduced-form price Phillips curve. For the labour market we consider a wage Phillips curve and for the product market a price Phillips curve. We estimate separately the wage and price Phillips curves for the USA, using ordinary least squares, non-parametric estimation and three-stage least squares techniques. The finding is that wages are always more flexible than prices with respect to their respective demand pressure and that price inflation responds somewhat more to a medium-run cost pressure than does wage inflation. The implications for macroeconomic stability are demonstrated. We also show-as a link between product and labour markets-that employment is related to output as Okun's law states. In comparing linear and non-linear estimates of the wage and price Phillips curves we find furthermore that for some relationships non-linearities are important while not for others. Although overall the non-linear estimates tend to confirm our linear estimates, non-linearities in some relationships of the Phillips curve are important as well. Copyright © 2007 The Authors; Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
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Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Metroeconomica .
Volume (Year): 58 (2007)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 550-581
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Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:58:y:2007:i:4:p:550-581Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0026-1386
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Toichiro Asada & Pu Chen & Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel, 2004.
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Other versions: Ekkehard Ernst & Peter Flaschel & Christian Proano & Willi Semmler, 2006.
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IMK Working Paper
04-2006, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
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Gabriele R. & Fagiolo G. & Dosi G., 2004.
"Towards an Evolutionary Interpretation of Aggregate Labor Market Regularities ,"
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84, Society for Computational Economics.
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Other versions: C. Chiarella & P. Chen, 2004.
"Keynesian Dynamics and the Wage-Price Spiral:Estimating a Baseline Disequilibrium Approach ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004
149, Society for Computational Economics.
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Toichiro Asada & Pu Chen & Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel, 2004.
"Keynesian Dynamics and the Wage-Price Spiral: A Baseline Disequilibrium Model ,"
Working Paper Series
139, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney.
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Other versions:
Asada, Toichiro & Chen, Pu & Chiarella, Carl & Flaschel, Peter, 2006.
"Keynesian dynamics and the wage-price spiral: A baseline disequilibrium model ,"
Journal of Macroeconomics ,
Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 90-130, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Göran Kauermann, 2006.
"Nonparametric models and their estimation ,"
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis ,
Springer, vol. 90(1), pages 137-152, March.
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Toichiro Asada & Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel & Christian R. Proaño, 2007.
"Keynesian AD-AS, Quo Vadis? ,"
Working Paper Series
151, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney.
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Pu Chen & Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel & Willi Semmler, 2006.
"Keynesian Macrodynamics and the Phillips Curve. An Estimated Baseline Macromodel for the U.S. Economy ,"
Working Paper Series
147, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney.
[Downloadable!]
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