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Fiscal Deficits, Inflation and Economic Growth in a Successful Open Developing Economy

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  • Tan, Eu Chye
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    Abstract

    This paper primarily seeks to establish whether long- and short-run relationships prevail between fiscal deficits on one hand and inflation and economic growth on the other in a developing economy such as Malaysia. The Malaysian economy has gained international acclaim as one of the successfully managed. Econometric methodology involving the Johansen cointegration and Granger causality techniques and annual data spanning generally from 1966 through 2003 have been mobilized for the purpose. The empirical results suggest that fiscal deficits could have an inflationary impact on the Malaysian economy as they are being monetized though no long run relationship exists amongst fiscal deficits, money supply and the price level. Fiscal deficits also appear to have neither long- nor short-run links with income.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50285
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Review of Applied Economics in its journal Review of Applied Economics.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2006)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages:

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    Handle: RePEc:ags:reapec:50285

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    Web page: http://www.lincoln.ac.nz/story11874.html

    Related research

    Keywords: deficits; growth; inflation; International Development; E60; H30; H61; H62;

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    1. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec..
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    8. Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1981. "Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Fall.
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    10. Giovannini, Alberto & de Melo, Martha, 1993. "Government Revenue from Financial Repression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(4), pages 953-63, September.
    11. Mario I. Blejer & Mohsin S. Khan, 1984. "Government Policy and Private Investment in Developing Countries (Politique des pouvoirs publics et investissement privé dans les pays en développement) (Política estatal e inversión priva," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 31(2), pages 379-403, June.
    12. Ozatay, Fatih, 2000. "A quarterly macroeconometric model for a highly inflationary and indebted country: Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-11, January.
    13. Joines, Douglas H., 1985. "Deficits and money growth in the United States 1872-1983," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 329-351, November.
    14. King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I., 1985. "Money, deficits, and inflation," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 147-195, January.
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