IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/afjare/211670.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing the impacts of climate shocks on farm performance and adaptation responses in the Niger basin of Benin

Author

Listed:
  • Lokonon, Boris Odilon
  • Savadogo, Kimseyinga
  • Mbaye, Ahmadou

Abstract

This farm-level study in the Niger basin of Benin aims to assess the impacts of climate shocks on farm activities and to simulate adaptation policy responses using a recursive dynamic mathematical programming model. Eight types of farmers were identified, and the results show that the average farm income declines under climate shocks, by 17.43 to 69.48%, compared to the baseline scenario. Farmers of agro-ecological zone II will be affected the most by climate shocks, followed by those in agro-ecological zones III, I and IV. Moreover, land and labour shadow price declines over the years due to climate shocks and extreme events. Adaptation policies, namely (i) improved irrigation, (ii) better access to credit, (iii) research and development, and (iv) better access to the labour market, contribute to coping with the adverse impacts of climate shocks on farm income. However, the success of adaptation policies depends on the ability of policymakers to implement them.

Suggested Citation

  • Lokonon, Boris Odilon & Savadogo, Kimseyinga & Mbaye, Ahmadou, 2015. "Assessing the impacts of climate shocks on farm performance and adaptation responses in the Niger basin of Benin," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 10(3), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:211670
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211670
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/211670/files/5%20Lokonon%20et%20al.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.211670?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joseph Atwood, 1985. "Demonstration of the Use of Lower Partial Moments to Improve Safety-First Probability Limits," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(4), pages 787-793.
    2. Pervez Zamurrad Janjua & Ghulam Samad & Nazakat Ullah Khan, 2010. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 799-822.
    3. World Bank, 2010. "World Development Report 2010," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4387, December.
    4. Koffi-Tessio, Egnonto M., 2009. "Modelling Climate Change and Agricultural Production in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA): In Quest of Statistics," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 50821, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Russell L. Lamb, 2003. "Fertilizer Use, Risk, and Off-Farm Labor Markets in the Semi-Arid Tropics of India," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(2), pages 359-371.
    6. K. S. Kavi Kumar, 2011. "Climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture: do spatial effects matter?," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 4(2), pages 221-235.
    7. Michael Carter & Christopher Barrett, 2006. "The economics of poverty traps and persistent poverty: An asset-based approach," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 178-199.
    8. Sanfo, Safiétou & Gérard, Françoise, 2012. "Public policies for rural poverty alleviation: The case of agricultural households in the Plateau Central area of Burkina Faso," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 1-9.
    9. -, 2009. "The economics of climate change," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38679, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    10. Kehkha, Ahmad Ali & Mohammadi, Gholamreza Soltani & Villano, Renato A., 2005. "Agricultural Risk Analysis in the Fars Province of Iran: A Risk-Programming Approach," Working Papers 12897, University of New England, School of Economics.
    11. Louhichi, Kamel & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2014. "A farm household model for agri-food policy analysis in developing countries: Application to smallholder farmers in Sierra Leone," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-13.
    12. Chebil, Ali & Mtimet, Nadhem & Tizaoui, Hassen, 2011. "Impact du changement climatique sur la productivité des cultures céréalières dans la région de Béja (Tunisie)," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 6(2), pages 1-11, September.
    13. Michele John & David Pannell & Ross Kingwell, 2005. "Climate Change and the Economics of Farm Management in the Face of Land Degradation: Dryland Salinity in Western Australia," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 53(4), pages 443-459, December.
    14. Lester G. Telser, 1955. "Safety First and Hedging," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(1), pages 1-16.
    15. John Felkner & Kamilya Tazhibayeva & Robert Townsend, 2009. "Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production in Thailand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 205-210, May.
    16. Zeyuan Qiu & Tony Prato & Francis McCamley, 2001. "Evaluating Environmental Risks Using Safety-First Constraints," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(2), pages 402-413.
    17. Bruno Barbier, 1998. "Induced innovation and land degradation: Results from a bioeconomic model of a village in West Africa," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 19(1-2), pages 15-25, September.
    18. Fofana, Ismael, 2011. "Simulating the impact of climate change and adaptation strategies on farm productivity and income: A bioeconomic analysis," IFPRI discussion papers 1095, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Janssen, Sander J.C. & van Ittersum, Martin K., 2007. "Assessing farmer behaviour as affected by policy and technological innovations: bio-economic farm models," Reports 9293, Wageningen University, SEAMLESS: System for Environmental and Agricultural Modelling; Linking European Science and Society.
    20. Barbier, Bruno, 1998. "Induced innovation and land degradation: Results from a bioeconomic model of a village in West Africa," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 19(1-2), pages 15-25, September.
    21. Oecd, 2009. "Climate Change and Africa," OECD Journal: General Papers, OECD Publishing, vol. 2009(1), pages 5-35.
    22. Olivier Deschênes & Michael Greenstone, 2007. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 354-385, March.
    23. Jeff Connor & Kurt Schwabe & Darran King & David Kaczan & Mac Kirby, 2009. "Impacts of climate change on lower Murray irrigation ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(3), pages 437-456, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Boansi, David & Owusu, Victor & Tambo, Justice Akpene & Donkor, Emmanuel & Asante, Bright Owusu, 2021. "Rainfall shocks and household welfare: Evidence from northern Ghana," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    2. Elizabeth Opiyo Onyango & Jonathan Crush & Samuel Owuor, 2021. "Preparing for COVID-19: Household food insecurity and vulnerability to shocks in Nairobi, Kenya," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-15, November.
    3. Boris O. K. Lokonon & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe & Naga Coulibaly & Calvin Atewamba, 2019. "The Potential Impact Of Climate Change On Agriculture In West Africa: A Bio-Economic Modeling Approach," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(04), pages 1-30, November.
    4. Lokonon, Boris Odilon Kounagbè, 2016. "Crop diversification, downside risk exposure, and crop production in the Niger basin of Benin," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246389, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shahbaz Bhatti & Sarfraz Hassan & Khalid Mushtaq & Kamran Javed, 2020. "Investigation The Impact Of Climate Change On Productivity Of Cotton: Empirical Evidence From Cotton Zone," Big Data In Agriculture (BDA), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 1-4, February.
    2. Mirzabaev, Alisher & Strokov, Anton & Krasilnikov, Pavel, 2023. "The impact of land degradation on agricultural profits and implications for poverty reduction in Central Asia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    3. Mushtaq, Shahbaz & Cockfield, Geoff & White, Neil & Jakeman, Guy, 2014. "Modelling interactions between farm-level structural adjustment and a regional economy: A case of the Australian rice industry," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 34-42.
    4. Cook, Aaron M. & Ricker-Gilbert, Jacob E. & Sesmero, Juan P., 2013. "How do African households adapt to climate change? Evidence from Malawi," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150507, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Ian Rowlands, 2011. "Ancillary impacts of energy-related climate change mitigation options in Africa’s least developed countries," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 16(7), pages 749-773, October.
    6. Maria Waldinger, 2015. "The effects of climate change on internal and international migration: implications for developing countries," GRI Working Papers 192, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    7. Carlo Fezzi & Ian Bateman, 2015. "The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture: Nonlinear Effects and Aggregation Bias in Ricardian Models of Farmland Values," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 2(1), pages 57-92.
    8. Jiang, Qiang & Grafton, R. Quentin, 2012. "Economic effects of climate change in the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 10-16.
    9. Sudarshan Chalise & Dr Athula Naranpanawa, 2016. "Climate change adaptation in agriculture: A general equilibrium analysis of land re-allocation in Nepal," EcoMod2016 9272, EcoMod.
    10. Chau Trinh Nguyen & Frank Scrimgeour, 2022. "Measuring the impact of climate change on agriculture in Vietnam: A panel Ricardian analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 37-51, January.
    11. Anubhab Pattanayak & K.S. Kavi Kumar, 2019. "Assessment of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation: A Methodological Review and Application to Indian Agriculture," Working Papers 2019-183, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    12. Zhou, Li & Turvey, Calum G., 2014. "Climate change, adaptation and China's grain production," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 72-89.
    13. Jane Kabubo-Mariara & Richard Mulwa, 2019. "Adaptation to climate change and climate variability and its implications for household food security in Kenya," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(6), pages 1289-1304, December.
    14. BEN ZAIED, YOUNES & Zouabi, Oussama, 2015. "Climate change impacts on agriculture: A panel cointegration approach and application to Tunisia," MPRA Paper 64711, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Bannor, Frank & Dikgang, Johane & Gelo, Dambala, 2021. "Is climate variability subversive for agricultural total factor productivity growth? Long-run evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 107590, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Raju Mandal & Hiranya Nath, 2017. "Climate Change and indian Agriculture: Impacts on Crop Yield," Working Papers 1705, Sam Houston State University, Department of Economics and International Business.
    17. Solomon Asfaw & Nancy McCarthy & Leslie Lipper & Aslihan Arslan & Andrea Cattaneo, 2016. "What determines farmers’ adaptive capacity? Empirical evidence from Malawi," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 8(3), pages 643-664, June.
    18. McCarl, Bruce A. & Attavanich, Witsanu & Musumba, Mark & Mu, Jianhong E. & Aisabokhae, Ruth, 2011. "Land Use and Climate Change," MPRA Paper 83993, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    19. Asfaw, Solomon & Savastano, Sara, 2015. "Topic: Building Resilience to Climate Change Through Social Protection and Climate-Smart Agriculture: Synergies and Trade-offs," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 210963, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    20. Boris O. K. Lokonon & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe & Naga Coulibaly & Calvin Atewamba, 2019. "The Potential Impact Of Climate Change On Agriculture In West Africa: A Bio-Economic Modeling Approach," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(04), pages 1-30, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:211670. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaaeaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.