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Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures with equity market uncertainty

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Cited by:

  1. Desheng Wu & James H. Lambert, 2020. "Engineering Systems and Risk Analytics," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 1-7, January.
  2. Assaf, Ata & Charif, Husni & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between uncertainty and energy markets: Do investor sentiments matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  3. Dohyun Pak & Sun-Yong Choi, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Sectoral Trading Volume in the U.S. Stock Market: Evidence from the COVID‐19 Crisis," Complexity, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2022(1).
  4. Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
  5. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  6. Zhang, Feipeng & Gao, Hongfu & Yuan, Di, 2024. "The asymmetric effect of G7 stock market volatility on predicting oil price volatility: Evidence from quantile autoregression model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
  7. Sa Xu & Ziqing Du & Hai Zhang, 2020. "Can Crude Oil Serve as a Hedging Asset for Underlying Securities?—Research on the Heterogenous Correlation between Crude Oil and Stock Index," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-19, June.
  8. Hong, Yanran & Cao, Shijiao & Xu, Pengfei & Pan, Zhigang, 2024. "Interpreting the effect of global economic risks on crude oil market: A supply-demand perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  9. Wang, Jiqian & Lu, Xinjie & He, Feng & Ma, Feng, 2020. "Which popular predictor is more useful to forecast international stock markets during the coronavirus pandemic: VIX vs EPU?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  10. Chen, Yan & Zhang, Lei & Zhang, Feipeng, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil volatility and stock volatility: New evidence from the quantile autoregressive model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  11. Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  12. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong & Wen, Danyan, 2023. "The predictive effect of risk aversion on oil returns under different market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  13. Hu, Nan & Yin, Xuebao & Yao, Yuhang, 2025. "A novel HAR-type realized volatility forecasting model using graph neural network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  14. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng, 2023. "Cross-sectional uncertainty and stock market volatility: New evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  15. Zhong, Juandan & Cao, Wenhan & Tang, Yusui, 2023. "Tail risk of international equity market and oil volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  16. Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  17. Chen, Yan & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasting: Threshold effect from stock market volatility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  18. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
  19. Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  20. Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
  21. Chao Liang & Feng Ma & Lu Wang & Qing Zeng, 2021. "The information content of uncertainty indices for natural gas futures volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1310-1324, November.
  22. Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
  23. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  24. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng & Li, Pan & Huang, Dengshi, 2022. "Natural gas volatility predictability in a data-rich world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  25. Zhifang He & Jiaqi Chen & Fangzhao Zhou & Guoqing Zhang & Fenghua Wen, 2022. "Oil price uncertainty and the risk‐return relation in stock markets: Evidence from oil‐importing and oil‐exporting countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1154-1172, January.
  26. Xu Gong & Mingchao Wang & Liuguo Shao, 2022. "The impact of macro economy on the oil price volatility from the perspective of mixing frequency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4487-4514, October.
  27. Mohamad Husam Helmi & A. Nazif Catik & Begum Yurteri Kosedagli & Gul Serife Huyuguzel Kisla & Coskun Akdeniz, 2023. "The Effects of Energy Prices on Oil-Gas Sectoral Stock Returns for BRIC Countries: Evidence from Space State Models," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 430-440, November.
  28. Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & Zhao, Yupei & Wang, Xiong, 2021. "The role of US implied volatility index in forecasting Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from HAR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 311-333.
  29. Guo, Lili & Huang, Xinya & Li, Yanjiao & Li, Houjian, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil futures price using machine learning methods: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  30. Wen, Fenghua & Zhao, Lili & He, Shaoyi & Yang, Guozheng, 2020. "Asymmetric relationship between carbon emission trading market and stock market: Evidences from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  31. Ooi Kok Loang, 2025. "Overreaction, Investor Sentiment and Market Sentiment of COVID-19," Vision, , vol. 29(5), pages 636-650, November.
  32. Ooi Kok Loang, 2023. "Corporate Governance and Islamic Behavioural Finance: A Review from Malaysia and GCC Countries," Indian Journal of Corporate Governance, , vol. 16(1), pages 28-51, June.
  33. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
  34. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Effects of structural changes on the prediction of downside volatility in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1124-1153, July.
  35. Luo, Qin & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Wu, You, 2024. "Changing determinant driver and oil volatility forecasting: A comprehensive analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  36. Yue Liu & Pierre Failler & Jiaying Peng & Yuhang Zheng, 2020. "Time-Varying Relationship between Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate in the Context of Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, May.
  37. Yu Wei & Lan Bai & Kun Yang & Guiwu Wei, 2021. "Are industry‐level indicators more helpful to forecast industrial stock volatility? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing purchasing managers index," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 17-39, January.
  38. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Bo Zhu, 2025. "Uncertainty and fluctuation in crude oil price: evidence from machine learning models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 345(2), pages 725-755, February.
  39. Zhao, Xin & Li, Yue & Wang, Tongyu, 2025. "Machine confirming: Validating financial theories with transfer learning," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  40. Peng-Fei Dai & Xiong Xiong & Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Jianjun Sun, 2021. "Preventing crash in stock market: The role of economic policy uncertainty during COVID-19," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
  41. Niu, Zibo & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  42. Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  43. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  44. Plíhal, Tomáš & Mampouya, Joachim Oliver & Deev, Oleg & Linnertová, Dagmar Vágnerová, 2025. "Volatility forecasting under the political uncertainty of the second Trump presidency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PF).
  45. Qiao, Gaoxiu & Ma, Xuekun & Jiang, Gongyue & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility index forecasting: New evidence based on positive and negative jumps from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 415-437.
  46. Liu, Yuanyuan & Niu, Zibo & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Yin, Libo & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures: The role of oil investor attention and its regime switching characteristics under a high-frequency framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
  47. Jiang, Wei & Hu, Yanhui & Zhao, Xiangyu, 2025. "The impact of artificial intelligence on carbon market in China: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  48. Guo, Kun & Liu, Yu & Cao, Shanwei & Zhai, Xiangyang & Ji, Qiang, 2025. "Can climate factors improve the forecasting of electricity price volatility? Evidence from Australia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
  49. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & M.I.M. Wahab & Dengshi Huang, 2021. "Forecasting China's Crude Oil Futures Volatility: The Role of the Jump, Jumps Intensity, and Leverage Effect," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 921-941, August.
  50. Xin Yang & Shan Chen & Hong Liu & Xiaoguang Yang & Chuangxia Huang, 2023. "Jump volatility spillover network based measurement of systemic importance of Chinese financial institutions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1201-1213, April.
  51. Wenwen Liu & Miaomiao Tang & Peng Zhao, 2025. "The dynamic impact of investor climate sentiment on the crude oil futures market: Evidence from the Chinese market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(2), pages 1-29, February.
  52. Yanhong Feng & Dilong Xu & Pierre Failler & Tinghui Li, 2020. "Research on the Time-Varying Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Crude Oil Price Fluctuation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-24, August.
  53. Qing Peng & Fenghua Wen & Xu Gong, 2021. "Time‐dependent intrinsic correlation analysis of crude oil and the US dollar based on CEEMDAN," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 834-848, January.
  54. Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2021. "Global equity market volatilities forecasting: A comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  55. Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao & Chen, Zhonglu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with uncertainty indicators: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  56. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  57. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 610-640, January.
  58. Desheng Dash Wu & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2020. "Service data analytics and business intelligence 2017," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 423-426, June.
  59. Shen, Lihua & Lu, Xinjie & Luu Duc Huynh, Toan & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Air quality index and the Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from both market and sector indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 224-239.
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