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Real Time Bayesian Estimation of the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Infectious Diseases

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Singh, Anurag & Arquam, Md, 2022. "Epidemiological modeling for COVID-19 spread in India with the effect of testing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 592(C).
  2. Christoph Zimmer & Reza Yaesoubi & Ted Cohen, 2017. "A Likelihood Approach for Real-Time Calibration of Stochastic Compartmental Epidemic Models," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, January.
  3. De Simone, Andrea & Piangerelli, Marco, 2020. "A Bayesian approach for monitoring epidemics in presence of undetected cases," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  4. Sean ELLIOTT & Christian GOURIEROUX, 2020. "Uncertainty on the Reproduction Ratio in the SIR Model," Working Papers 2020-31, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  5. Schimit, P.H.T. & Monteiro, L.H.A., 2012. "On estimating the basic reproduction number in distinct stages of a contagious disease spreading," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 156-160.
  6. Maeno, Yoshiharu, 2016. "Detecting a trend change in cross-border epidemic transmission," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 457(C), pages 73-81.
  7. Xin-Yu Zhang & Lan-Lan Yu & Wei-Yi Wang & Gui-Quan Sun & Jian-Cheng Lv & Tao Zhou & Quan-Hui Liu, 2024. "Estimating the time-varying effective reproduction number via Cycle Threshold-based Transformer," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(12), pages 1-25, December.
  8. Kris V. Parag & Robin N. Thompson & Christl A. Donnelly, 2022. "Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(S1), pages 5-15, November.
  9. José Ulises Márquez Urbina & Graciela González Farías & L Leticia Ramírez Ramírez & D Iván Rodríguez González, 2022. "A multi-source global-local model for epidemic management," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, January.
  10. Fajar, Muhammad, 2020. "Estimasi angka reproduksi Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), Kasus Indonesia (Estimation of COVID-19 reproductive number, case of Indonesia [Estimation Of Covid-19 Reproductive Number (Case Of Indonesia)]," MPRA Paper 105099, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Mar 2020.
  11. Lu Tang & Yiwang Zhou & Lili Wang & Soumik Purkayastha & Leyao Zhang & Jie He & Fei Wang & Peter X.‐K. Song, 2020. "A Review of Multi‐Compartment Infectious Disease Models," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(2), pages 462-513, August.
  12. Anup Malani & Satej Soman & Sam Asher & Paul Novosad & Clement Imbert & Vaidehi Tandel & Anish Agarwal & Abdullah Alomar & Arnab Sarker & Devavrat Shah & Dennis Shen & Jonathan Gruber & Stuti Sachdeva, 2020. "Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown," NBER Working Papers 27532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  13. Kernel Prieto & M Victoria Chávez–Hernández & Jhoana P Romero–Leiton, 2022. "On mobility trends analysis of COVID–19 dissemination in Mexico City," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-25, February.
  14. repec:plo:pcbi00:1006546 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Anup Malani & Satej Soman & Sabareesh Ramachandran & Alice Chen & Darius N. Lakdawalla, 2022. "Vaccine Allocation Priorities Using Disease Surveillance and Economic Data," NBER Working Papers 29682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  16. Khatun, Mst Sebi & Ghosh, Dibakar & Das, Pritha, 2025. "Comparative analysis of reproduction number estimation and parameter inference in SEIR-based disease modeling," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 200(P1).
  17. Chad Cotti & Bryan Engelhardt & Joshua Foster & Erik Nesson & Paul Niekamp, 2021. "The relationship between in‐person voting and COVID‐19: Evidence from the Wisconsin primary," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 760-777, October.
  18. Imelda Trejo & Nicolas W Hengartner, 2022. "A modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model for observed under-reported incidence data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-23, February.
  19. Victor W. Chu & Raymond K. Wong & Chi-Hung Chi & Wei Zhou & Ivan Ho, 2017. "The design of a cloud-based tracker platform based on system-of-systems service architecture," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 19(6), pages 1283-1299, December.
  20. Kernel Prieto, 2022. "Current forecast of COVID-19 in Mexico: A Bayesian and machine learning approaches," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-21, January.
  21. Ida Johnsson & M. Hashem Pesaran & Cynthia Fan Yang, 2023. "Structural Econometric Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number for Covid-19 across U.S. States and Selected Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10659, CESifo.
  22. Adam Brzezinski & David Van Dijcke & Valentin Kecht, 2020. "The Cost of Staying Open: Voluntary Social Distancing and Lockdowns in the US," Economics Series Working Papers 910, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  23. Bo Huang & Zhihui Huang & Chen Chen & Jian Lin & Tony Tam & Yingyi Hong & Sen Pei, 2022. "Social vulnerability amplifies the disparate impact of mobility on COVID-19 transmissibility across the United States," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
  24. Kyle S Hickmann & Geoffrey Fairchild & Reid Priedhorsky & Nicholas Generous & James M Hyman & Alina Deshpande & Sara Y Del Valle, 2015. "Forecasting the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Using Wikipedia," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-29, May.
  25. Mostafa Adimy & Julien Molina & Laurent Pujo-Menjouet & Grégoire Ranson & Jianhong Wu, 2022. "Forecasting the Effect of Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) on HIV Propagation with a System of Differential–Difference Equations with Delay," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-24, November.
  26. Sánchez-Monroy, J.A. & Riascos-Ochoa, Javier & Bustos, Abel, 2024. "Parameter estimation in the stochastic SIR model via scaled geometric Brownian motion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 189(P1).
  27. Flávio Codeço Coelho & Cláudia Torres Codeço & M Gabriela M Gomes, 2011. "A Bayesian Framework for Parameter Estimation in Dynamical Models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(5), pages 1-6, May.
  28. Shinsuke Koyama, 2023. "Multivariate epidemic count time series model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(6), pages 1-12, June.
  29. Park, Dojoon & Kang, Yong Joo & Eom, Young Ho, 2024. "Asset pricing tests for pandemic risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1314-1334.
  30. Farnaz Sheikhi & Negar Yousefian & Pardis Tehranipoor & Zahra Kowsari, 2022. "Estimation of the basic reproduction number of Alpha and Delta variants of COVID-19 pandemic in Iran," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(5), pages 1-11, May.
  31. Sean Elliott & Christian Gourieroux, 2020. "Uncertainty on the Reproduction Ratio in the SIR Model," Papers 2012.11542, arXiv.org.
  32. Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet & Gustavo Schwenkler, 2020. "Preventing COVID-19 Fatalities: State versus Federal Policies," Papers 2010.15263, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
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