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Overreaction in Expectations: Evidence and Theory

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1551, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  2. Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 829, DNB.
  3. Constantin Charles & Cary Frydman & Mete Kilic, 2024. "Insensitive Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2473-2503, August.
  4. Isaac Baley & Javier Turen, 2024. "Lumpy forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1898, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  5. Campiglio, Emanuele & Lamperti, Francesco & Terranova, Roberta, 2024. "Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  6. Andries, Marianne & Bianchi, Milo & Huynh, Karen & Pouget, Sébastien, 2024. "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," TSE Working Papers 1561, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  7. Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  8. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  9. Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang & Yutong Yan, 2026. "Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning," Papers 2604.02921, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
  10. Filippo Natoli & Sharath Sonti, 2026. "Overconfident forecasters and the impact of inflation information: evidence from a randomized survey experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1532, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  11. Jonas Radbruch & Amelie Schiprowski, 2025. "Interview Sequences and the Formation of Subjective Assessments," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 92(2), pages 1226-1256.
  12. Han, Leyla Jianyu, 2025. "Announcements, expectations, and stock returns with asymmetric information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  13. Dayong Huang & Lijun Lei & Mengmeng Wang & Yuhang Xing, 2025. "Managerial Overextrapolation: Who and When," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(6), pages 5328-5350, June.
  14. Heinke, Steve & Olschewski, Sebastian & Rieskamp, Jörg, 2024. "Experiences, demand for risky investments, and implications for price dynamics," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  15. Leland Bybee, 2023. "Surveying Generative AI's Economic Expectations," Papers 2305.02823, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  16. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025. "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series 2025-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. Gerotto, Luca & Paradiso, Antonio & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2025. "A tale of inattentiveness and the loss function: A model for household-level macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  18. Bro, Jeppe & Eriksen, Jonas N., 2025. "Subjective expectations and house prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  19. Chua, Yeow Hwee & Hong, Zu Yao, 2026. "Tail risk and expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  20. Zanetti Chini, Emilio, 2025. "Judgment can spur long memory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  21. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  22. Ahmed, Haseeb & Giffin, Erin & Manian, Shanthi, 2025. "Memory constraints in adoption of productive technologies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  23. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Oliver Pfäuti & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Attention to the Macroeconomy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 256, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  24. Enke, Benjamin & Schwerter, Frederik & Zimmermann, Florian, 2024. "Associative memory, beliefs and market interactions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  25. Benjamin Christoffersen & Arvid Hoffmann & Zwetelina Iliewa & Lena Jaroszek, 2025. "Experience Effects on Wall Street vs. Main Street: Field and Lab Evidence of Context Dependence," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_684, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
  26. Kerry Xiao & Amy Zang, 2025. "Vague Knowledge: Evidence from Analyst Reports," Papers 2505.12269, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
  27. Lustenhouwer, Joep & Salle, Isabelle, 2025. "Learning to be rational in the presence of news: A lab investigation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  28. Qiu, Yajie & Deschamps, Bruno, 2025. "Peer influence in macroeconomic predictions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  29. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2025. "How Do We Learn About the Long Run?," Staff Reports 1150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  30. Li, Ye & Wang, Chen, 2025. "The Information Cliff," SocArXiv bf8cx_v1, Center for Open Science.
  31. Charles, Constantin & Frydman, Cary & Kilic, Mete, 2024. "Insensitive investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120788, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  32. Barahona, Ricardo & Cassella, Stefano & Jansen, Kristy A.E. & Pezone, Vincenzo, 2026. "Do teams alleviate or exacerbate overreaction in beliefs?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  33. Yuval Salant & Jorg L. Spenkuch & David Almog, 2025. "The Memory Premium," NBER Working Papers 33649, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  34. Yves Breitmoser & Justin Valasek & Justin Mattias Valasek, 2023. "Why Do Committees Work?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10800, CESifo.
  35. Bizzarri, Matteo & d’Arienzo, Daniele, 2024. "The social value of overreaction to information," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  36. Breitmoser, Yves & Valasek, Justin, 2023. "Why do committees work?," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 18/2023, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
  37. Bulkley, George & Harris, Richard D.F. & Nawosah, Vivekanand, 2025. "Behavioral biases, information frictions and interest rate expectations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  38. Pietro Bini & Lin William Cong & Xing Huang & Lawrence J. Jin, 2026. "Behavioral Economics of AI: LLM Biases and Corrections," Papers 2602.09362, arXiv.org.
  39. Aktuğ, Emrehan & Rezghi, Abolfazl, 2025. "Asymmetric overreaction," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  40. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  41. He, Wei & Su, Zhiwei & Yu, Jianfeng, 2024. "Macroeconomic perceptions, financial constraints, and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
  42. Ghaderi, Mohammad & Seo, Sang Byung & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2026. "Learning and subjective beliefs about good and bad inflation ranges," SAFE Working Paper Series 478, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  43. Angelico, Cristina, 2024. "The green transition and firms' expectations on future prices: Survey evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 519-543.
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