Structural Vulnerabilities and Currency Crises

Citations

Cited by:

1. Frankel, Jeffrey & Saravelos, George, 2012. "Can leading indicators assess country vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008–09 global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 216-231.
   • Saravelo, George & Frankel, Jeffrey A., 2011. "Can Leading Indicators Assess Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis," Scholarly Articles 5027952, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
   • Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Saravelos, George, 2012. "Can Leading Indicators Assess Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis," Scholarly Articles 9642637, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
   • Frankel, Jeffrey & Saravelos, George, 2011. "Can Leading Indicators Assess Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis," Working Paper Series rwp11-024, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
2. Sylvain Barthélémy & Virginie Gautier & Fabien Rondeau, 2024. "Early warning system for currency crises using long short‐term memory and gated recurrent unit neural networks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1235-1262, August.
   • Sylvain Barthélémy & Fabien Rondeau & Virginie Gautier, 2023. "Early Warning System for Currency Crises using Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit Neural Networks," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2023-05, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
   • Sylvain Barthélémy & Virginie Gautier & Fabien Rondeau, 2024. "Early warning system for currency crises using long short‐term memory and gated recurrent unit neural networks," Post-Print hal-04470367, HAL.
3. Candelon, Bertrand & Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2014. "Currency crisis early warning systems: Why they should be dynamic," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1016-1029.
   • Bertrand Candelon & Elena-Ivona DUMITRESCU & Christophe HURLIN, 2010. "Currency Crises Early Warning Systems: why they should be Dynamic," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 399, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
   • Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Elena Dumitnescu, 2014. "Currency Crisis Early Warning Systems: Why They should be Dynamic," Working Papers 2014-161, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
   • Bertrand Candelon & Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin, 2014. "Currency Crises Early Warning Systems: Why They Should Be Dynamic," Post-Print hal-01385975, HAL.
   • Candelon, B. & Dumitrescu, E-I. & Hurlin, C., 2010. "Currency crises early warning systems: why they should be dynamic," Research Memorandum 047, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
4. Aparicio, Juan & Duran, Miguel A. & Lozano-Vivas, Ana & Pastor, Jesus T., 2018. "Are charter value and supervision aligned? A segmentation analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 60-73.
   • Juan Aparicio & Miguel A. Duran & Ana Lozano-Vivas & Jesus T. Pastor, 2024. "Are Charter Value and Supervision Aligned? A Segmentation Analysis," Papers 2401.12274, arXiv.org.
5. Ghosh, Atish R. & Qureshi, Mahvash S. & Kim, Jun Il & Zalduendo, Juan, 2014. "Surges," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 266-285.
   • Mahvash S Qureshi & Mr. Atish R. Ghosh & Mr. Juan Zalduendo & Mr. Jun I Kim, 2012. "Surges," IMF Working Papers 2012/022, International Monetary Fund.
6. Christofides, Charis & Eicher, Theo S. & Papageorgiou, Chris, 2016. "Did established Early Warning Signals predict the 2008 crises?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 103-114.
   • Theo S. Eicher & Charis Christofides & Chris Papageorgiou, 2012. "Did Established Early Warning Signals Predict the 2008 Crises?," Working Papers UWEC-2012-05, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
7. Manasse, Paolo & Roubini, Nouriel, 2009. ""Rules of thumb" for sovereign debt crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 192-205, July.
   • Paolo Manasse & Nouriel Roubini, 2005. "'Rules of Thumb' for Sovereign Debt Crises," International Finance 0509003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
   • Nouriel Roubini & Paolo Manasse, 2005. "“Rules of Thumb” for Sovereign Debt Crises," IMF Working Papers 2005/042, International Monetary Fund.
8. Hasan Vergil & Erdogan Teyyare, 2017. "Crisis, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 31(2), pages 1-19.
9. Waelchli Boris, 2016. "A proximity based macro stress testing framework," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-26, November.
10. Shimpalee, Pattama L. & Breuer, Janice Boucher, 2007. "An event study of institutions and currency crises," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 274-290.
11. Luis Hernando Portillo-Riascos & Edinson Ortiz-Benavides, 2021. "The External Vulnerability of the Colombian Economy 1990-2015: A Comparative Analysis," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 94, pages 11-46, Enero-Jun.
12. Mr. Andrew J Tiffin, 2019. "Machine Learning and Causality: The Impact of Financial Crises on Growth," IMF Working Papers 2019/228, International Monetary Fund.
13. Ahmet Atil Asici, 2010. "Parametric and non-parametric approaches to exits from fixed exchange rate regimes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 381-406.
    • Ahmet Atil Asici, 2007. "Parametric and Non-parametric Approaches to Exits from Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes," IHEID Working Papers 14-2007, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    • Ahmet Atil Asici, 2008. "Parametric and Non-Parametric Approaches to Exits from Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes," Working Papers 401, Economic Research Forum, revised 03 Jan 2008.
14. Katsuyuki Tanaka & Takuji Kinkyo & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Financial Hazard Map: Financial Vulnerability Predicted by a Random Forests Classification Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
    • Katsuyuki Tanaka & Takuji Kinkyo & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2017. "Financial Hazard Map: Financial Vulnerability Predicted by a Random Forests Classification Model," Discussion Papers 1720, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
15. Mpho Bosupeng, 2018. "Leading Indicators and Financial Crisis: A Multi-Sectoral Approach Using Signal Extraction," Journal of Empirical Studies, Conscientia Beam, vol. 5(1), pages 20-44.
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17. Filip Bašić & Tomislav Globan, 2023. "Early bird catches the worm: finding the most effective early warning indicators of recessions," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 2120040-212, December.
18. Mamdouh Abdelmoula M.Abdelsalam & Hany Abdel-Latif, 2020. "An optimal early warning system for currency crises under model uncertainty," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(3), pages 99-107.
    • Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. Abdelsalama & Hany Abdel-Latif, 2019. "An optimal early warning system for currency crises under model uncertainty," Working Papers 1334, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
19. Andre Cartapanis, 2004. "Le declenchement des crises de change : qu'avons-nous appris depuis dix ans ?," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 97, pages 5-48.
20. Allaj, Erindi & Sanfelici, Simona, 2023. "Early Warning Systems for identifying financial instability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1777-1803.
21. Bicaba, Zorobabel & Kapp, Daniel & Molteni, Francesco, 2014. "Stability periods between financial crises: The role of macroeconomic fundamentals and crises management policies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 346-360.
    • Zorobabel Bicaba & Daniel Kapp & Francesco Molteni, 2011. "Stability periods between financial crises: The role of macroeconomic fundamentals and crises management policies," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 11064, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    • Zorobabel Bicaba & Daniel Kapp & Francesco Molteni, 2011. "Stability periods between financial crises : The role of macroeconomic fundamentals and crises management policies," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00639869, HAL.
22. Martin Feldkircher & Thomas Gruber & Isabella Moder, 2014. "Using a Threshold Approach to Flag Vulnerabilities in CESEE Economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 8-30.
23. Mr. Brad Setser & Nouriel Roubini & Mr. Christian Keller & Mr. Mark Allen & Mr. Christoph B. Rosenberg, 2002. "A Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 2002/210, International Monetary Fund.
24. Tanaka, Katsuyuki & Kinkyo, Takuji & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2016. "Random forests-based early warning system for bank failures," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 118-121.
25. Alessi, Lucia & Detken, Carsten, 2018. "Identifying excessive credit growth and leverage," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 215-225.
    • Alessi, Lucia, 2014. "Identifying Excessive Credit Growth and Leverage," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 1.
    • Detken, Carsten & Alessi, Lucia, 2014. "Identifying excessive credit growth and leverage," Working Paper Series 1723, European Central Bank.
26. Licchetta, Mirko, 2009. "Common determinants of currency crises: role of external balance sheet variables," Bank of England working papers 366, Bank of England.
27. Rakesh Padhan & K. P. Prabheesh, 2019. "Effectiveness Of Early Warning Models: A Critical Review And New Agenda For Future Direction," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 457-484, December.
28. Gianpaolo Rossini & Paolo Zanghieri, 2009. "Current account composition and sustainability of external debt," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(5), pages 677-683.
    • Gianpaolo Rossini & Paolo Zanghieri, 2006. "Current Account Composition and Sustainability of External Debt," EcoMod2006 272100075, EcoMod.
    • Gianpaolo Rossini & Paolo Zanghieri, 2007. "Current Account Composition and Sustainability of External Debt," Development Working Papers 226, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
    • G. Rossini & P. Zanghieri, 2006. "Current account composition and sustainability of external debt (I)," Working Papers 568, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
29. Bolívar, Fernando & Duran, Miguel A. & Lozano-Vivas, Ana, 2023. "Business model contributions to bank profit performance: A machine learning approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    • F. Bolivar & Miguel A. Duran & A. Lozano-Vivas, 2024. "Business Model Contributions to Bank Profit Performance: A Machine Learning Approach," Papers 2401.12334, arXiv.org.
30. Jeffrey A. Frankel & George Saravelos, 2010. "Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis," NBER Working Papers 16047, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
31. Cristiano Prado Martins Barbosa, 2004. "Fatores Políticos E Institucionais: Impactos Sobre Paradas Bruscas De Financiamento Externo," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 070, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
32. Emile du Plessis & Ulrich Fritsche, 2025. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 3-40, January.
    • du Plessis, Emile & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2022. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 67, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
33. Marcos Chamon & Atish Ghosh & Jun Il Kim, 2012. "Are All Emerging Market Crises Alike?," Chapters, in: Maurice Obstfeld & Dongchul Cho & Andrew Mason (ed.), Global Economic Crisis, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
34. Mr. Axel Schimmelpfennig & Nouriel Roubini & Paolo Manasse, 2003. "Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises," IMF Working Papers 2003/221, International Monetary Fund.
35. Jianping Shi & Yu Gao, 2010. "A study on KLR financial crisis early-warning model," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, vol. 5(2), pages 254-275, June.
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37. Roberto Savona & Marika Vezzoli, 2012. "Multidimensional Distance‐To‐Collapse Point And Sovereign Default Prediction," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(4), pages 205-228, October.
38. Jianping Shi & Yu Gao, 2010. "A Study on KLR Financial Crisis Early-Warning Model," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 5(2), pages 254-275, June.
39. Rupa Duttagupta & Mr. Paul Cashin, 2008. "The Anatomy of Banking Crises," IMF Working Papers 2008/093, International Monetary Fund.
40. Paulo Jorge Reis Mourão, 2014. "When municipalities go shopping-Portuguese direct awards," Public Money & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6), pages 433-440, November.
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42. Duttagupta, Rupa & Cashin, Paul, 2011. "Anatomy of banking crises in developing and emerging market countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 354-376, March.
43. Lanbiao Liu & Chen Chen & Bo Wang, 2022. "Predicting financial crises with machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 871-910, August.
44. Marcos Chamon & Paolo Manasse & Alessandro Prati, 2007. "Can We Predict the Next Capital Account Crisis?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 54(2), pages 270-305, June.
45. E. Davis & Dilruba Karim & Iana Liadze, 2011. "Should multivariate early warning systems for banking crises pool across regions?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 147(4), pages 693-716, November.
46. Mr. Abdul d Abiad, 2003. "Early Warning Systems: A Survey and a Regime-Switching Approach," IMF Working Papers 2003/032, International Monetary Fund.
47. Pattama L. Shimpalee & Janice Boucher Breuer, 2007. "An event study of institutions and currency crises," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(3), pages 274-290.
48. Shimpalee, Pattama L. & Breuer, Janice Boucher, 2006. "Currency crises and institutions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 125-145, February.
49. Beltran, Daniel O. & Dalal, Vihar M. & Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. & Paine, Fiona A., 2024. "Optimizing composite early warning indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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51. Ivana Marjanoviæ & Milan Markoviæ, 2019. "Determinants of currency crises in the Republic of Serbia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 191-212.
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