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Exploring the sources of default clustering

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Colin Ellis, 2020. "Are Corporate Bond Defaults Contagious across Sectors?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, January.
  2. Yoshiaki Ogura & Ryo Okui & Yukiko Umeno Saito, 2025. "Network-Motivated Forbearance Lending," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(11), pages 9766-9783, November.
  3. Justin Sirignano & Kay Giesecke, 2019. "Risk Analysis for Large Pools of Loans," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 107-121, January.
  4. Escribano, Ana & Maggi, Mario, 2019. "Intersectoral default contagion: A multivariate Poisson autoregression analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 376-400.
  5. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Colak, Gonul & Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis, 2025. "Systemic risk and oil price volatility shocks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  6. Senay Agca & Volodymyr Babich & John R. Birge & Jing Wu, 2022. "Credit Shock Propagation Along Supply Chains: Evidence from the CDS Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 6506-6538, September.
  7. Bátiz-Zuk Enrique & Mohamed Abdulkadir & Sánchez-Cajal Fátima, 2021. "Exploring the sources of loan default clustering using survival analysis with frailty," Working Papers 2021-14, Banco de México.
  8. Telg, Sean & Dubinova, Anna & Lucas, Andre, 2023. "Covid-19, credit risk management modeling, and government support," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  9. Anna Dubinova & Andre Lucas & Sean Telg, 2021. "COVID-19, Credit Risk and Macro Fundamentals," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-059/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  10. Anatoliy Swishchuk & Aiden Huffman, 2020. "General Compound Hawkes Processes in Limit Order Books," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, March.
  11. Michi Nishihara & Takashi Shibata, 2020. "Optimal capital structure and bankruptcy cascades," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 20-10, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
  12. Dainelli, Francesco & Bet, Gianmarco & Fabrizi, Eugenio, 2024. "The financial health of a company and the risk of its default: Back to the future," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  13. Abad, P. & Ferreras, R. & Robles, M.D., 2020. "Intra-industry transfer effects of credit risk news: Rated versus unrated rivals," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(1).
  14. Mai, Chung & Scheule, Harald, 2026. "Time-varying repayment contracts for financial resilience in mortgage lending," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  15. Nan Guo & Steven Kou & Bin Wang & Ruodu Wang, 2025. "A Theory of Credit Rating Criteria," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(4), pages 3583-3599, April.
  16. Amiraslani, Hami & Deller, Carolyn & Ittner, Christopher D. & Keusch, Thomas, 2025. "Board risk oversight and environmental and social performance," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2).
  17. Marius Cristian Acatrinei, 2020. "Spillover index for European business cycle," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 9(5), pages 49-57, November.
  18. Hu, Nan & Liang, Peng & Liu, Ling & Zhu, Lu, 2022. "The bullwhip effect and credit default swap market: A study based on firm-specific bullwhip effect measure," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  19. Chironna, Gianpiero & Orlando, Giuseppe, 2026. "Predicting bank defaults in Italy: A comparative analysis of conventional and machine learning approaches," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 788-833.
  20. Ha Nguyen, 2023. "Particle MCMC in forecasting frailty correlated default models with expert opinion," Papers 2304.11586, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
  21. Zhao, Yixiu & Upreti, Vineet & Cai, Yuzhi, 2021. "Stock returns, quantile autocorrelation, and volatility forecasting," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  22. Fang, Yi & Lin, Hao & Lu, Liping, 2025. "Measuring systemic risk from textual Analysis: Evidence from Chinese Banks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  23. Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2021. "Disastrous Defaults [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1727-1772.
  24. Xiangdong Liu & Jiahui Wu & Xianglong Li, 2023. "Research on Financial Default Model with Stochastic Intensity Using Filtered Likelihood Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-19, July.
  25. Harjoat S. Bhamra & Christian Dorion & Alexandre Jeanneret & Michael Weber, 2018. "Low Inflation: High Default Risk AND High Equity Valuations," NBER Working Papers 25317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  26. Kay Giesecke & Alexander Shkolnik, 2022. "Reducing Bias in Event Time Simulations via Measure Changes," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 969-988, May.
  27. Xiaolu Hu & Haoyi Luo & Zijin Xu & Jiang Li, 2021. "Intra‐industry spill‐over effect of default: Evidence from the Chinese bond market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 4703-4740, September.
  28. Elliot L. Epstein & Apaar Sadhwani & Kay Giesecke, 2025. "A Set-Sequence Model for Time Series," Papers 2505.11243, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
  29. Ben Hambly & Andreas Søjmark, 2019. "An SPDE model for systemic risk with endogenous contagion," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 535-594, July.
  30. Geir D. Berentsen & Jan Bulla & Antonello Maruotti & Bård Støve, 2022. "Modelling clusters of corporate defaults: Regime‐switching models significantly reduce the contagion source," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 698-722, June.
  31. Fu, Michael C. & Li, Bingqing & Li, Fei & Wu, Rongwen, 2025. "Contagion network, portfolio credit risk, and financial crisis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 321(3), pages 942-957.
  32. Wang, Xiaoting & Hou, Siyuan & Shen, Jie, 2021. "Default clustering of the nonfinancial sector and systemic risk: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 196-208.
  33. Mark Clintworth & Dimitrios Lyridis & Evangelos Boulougouris, 2023. "Financial risk assessment in shipping: a holistic machine learning based methodology," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(1), pages 90-121, March.
  34. Concepción de la Fuente-Cabrero & Mónica de Castro-Pardo & Rosa Santero-Sánchez & Pilar Laguna-Sánchez, 2019. "The Role of Mutual Guarantee Institutions in the Financial Sustainability of New Family-Owned Small Businesses," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-15, November.
  35. Zhang, Xiaoyuan & Zhang, Tianqi, 2022. "Dynamic credit contagion and aggregate loss in networks," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  36. Kramer, Anke & Kiesel, Rüdiger, 2021. "Exogenous factors for order arrivals on the intraday electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  37. Wencheng Yu & Yikang Zhang & Kun Du & Yanzhou Wu, 2023. "Does the Quality of Director Fusion Raise the Risk of Corporate Debt Default?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-18, January.
  38. Anand Deo & Sandeep Juneja, 2021. "Credit Risk: Simple Closed-Form Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimator," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 361-379, March.
  39. Chen, Shaoying & Tong, Zhiwei & Yang, Yang, 2025. "Portfolio default losses driven by idiosyncratic risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 320(3), pages 765-776.
  40. Shaoying Chen & Yang Yang & Zhimin Zhang, 2024. "Asymptotics for credit portfolio losses due to defaults in a multi-sector model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 337(1), pages 23-44, June.
  41. Giesecke, Kay & Schwenkler, Gustavo, 2018. "Filtered likelihood for point processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 33-53.
  42. Kiwoong Byun & Baeho Kim & Dong Hwan Oh, 2025. "Systemic Credit Risk Premium: Insights From Credit Derivatives Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(9), pages 1448-1465, September.
  43. Antoine Djogbenou & Christian Gouriéroux & Joann Jasiak & Maygol Bandehali, 2024. "Composite Likelihood for Stochastic Migration Model with Unobserved Factor," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1421-1455.
  44. Yang Shen & Bin Zou, 2021. "Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection in Contagious Markets," Papers 2110.09417, arXiv.org.
  45. Lee, Yongwoong & Rösch, Daniel & Scheule, Harald, 2021. "Systematic credit risk in securitised mortgage portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  46. Bo Becker & Victoria Ivashina, 2023. "Disruption and Credit Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 105-139, February.
  47. Das, Sanjiv R. & Kalimipalli, Madhu & Nayak, Subhankar, 2022. "Banking networks, systemic risk, and the credit cycle in emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  48. Nishihara, Michi & Shibata, Takashi, 2021. "Optimal capital structure and simultaneous bankruptcy of firms in corporate networks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  49. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Dongho Song, 2018. "Sovereign Credit Risk and Exchange Rates: Evidence from CDS Quanto Spreads," NBER Working Papers 24506, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  50. Shang Bu & Nan Guo & Lingfei Li, 2022. "Rating frailty, Bayesian updates, and portfolio credit risk analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 777-797, April.
  51. Konstantinos Spiliopoulos & Jia Yang, 2018. "Network effects in default clustering for large systems," Papers 1812.07645, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
  52. Dumitru, Ana-Maria & Holden, Thomas, 2019. "Quantifying the transmission of European sovereign default risk," EconStor Preprints 193632, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  53. Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet, 2021. "Affine Modeling of Credit Risk, Pricing of Credit Events, and Contagion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 3674-3693, June.
  54. Benhabib, Jess & Dong, Feng & Wang, Pengfei & Xu, Zhenyang, 2025. "Aggregate demand externality and self-fulfilling default cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
  55. Xing, Kai & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2020. "Predicting default rates by capturing critical transitions in the macroeconomic system," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  56. Francesco Serafini & Finn Lindgren & Mark Naylor, 2023. "Approximation of Bayesian Hawkes process with inlabru," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), August.
  57. Lohmann, Christian & Möllenhoff, Steffen, 2023. "Dark premonitions: Pre-bankruptcy investor attention and behavior," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  58. Xing, Kai & Luo, Dan & Liu, Lanlan, 2023. "Macroeconomic conditions, corporate default, and default clustering," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  59. Zheng, Hannan & Schwenkler, Gustavo, 2020. "The network of firms implied by the news," ESRB Working Paper Series 108, European Systemic Risk Board.
  60. Asis, Gonzalo & Chari, Anusha & Haas, Adam, 2021. "In search of distress risk in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  61. Dan Luo & Dragon Yongjun Tang & Sarah Qian Wang, 2018. "Model specification and collateralized debt obligation (mis)pricing," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(11), pages 1284-1312, November.
  62. Gabriele Torri & Rosella Giacometti & Gianluca Farina, 2025. "Modeling portfolio loss distribution under infectious defaults and immunization," Papers 2503.03306, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
  63. Gross, Marco, 2022. "Beautiful cycles: A theory and a model implying a curious role for interest," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
  64. Li, Bingqing & Zhang, Xiaoyuan, 2024. "Systemic risk and financial networks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 25-36.
  65. Gao, Haoyu & Ouyang, Yiling & Wang, Yaxin, 2024. "Corporate bond defaults and spillover effects on bank risk: Evidence from city commercial banks in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  66. Teruo Kemmotsu, 2021. "Bankruptcy risk dependence structure using the INAR model comprising macroeconomic indicators applied to stress tests," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(4), pages 563-585, December.
  67. Nguyen, Ha, 2023. "An empirical application of Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo to frailty correlated default models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 103-121.
  68. Yan Qu & Angelos Dassios & Anxin Liu & Hongbiao Zhao, 2025. "Exact Simulation of Quadratic Intensity Models," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 37(5), pages 1182-1201, September.
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