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An integrated systematic analysis of uncertainties in UK energy transition pathways

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  1. Koppelaar, Rembrandt H.E.M. & Keirstead, James & Shah, Nilay & Woods, Jeremy, 2016. "A review of policy analysis purpose and capabilities of electricity system models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1531-1544.
  2. Yuwono, Bintang & Yowargana, Ping & Kranzl, Lukas & Haas, Reinhard & Dewi, Retno Gumilang & Siagian, Ucok Welo Risma & Kraxner, Florian, 2023. "Incorporating grid expansion in an energy system optimisation model - A case study for Indonesia," OSF Preprints aw4bd, Center for Open Science.
  3. Oduro, Richard A. & Taylor, Peter G., 2023. "Future pathways for energy networks: A review of international experiences in high income countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
  4. Li, Pei-Hao & Pye, Steve & Keppo, Ilkka, 2020. "Using clustering algorithms to characterise uncertain long-term decarbonisation pathways," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
  5. Gil-García, Isabel C. & Fernández-Guillamón, Ana & García-Cascales, M. Socorro & Molina-García, Angel & Dagher, Habib, 2024. "A green electrical matrix-based model for the energy transition: Maine, USA case example," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  6. Kang, Jia-Ning & Wei, Yi-Ming & Liu, Lan-Cui & Han, Rong & Yu, Bi-Ying & Wang, Jin-Wei, 2020. "Energy systems for climate change mitigation: A systematic review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
  7. Li, Francis G.N. & Trutnevyte, Evelina, 2017. "Investment appraisal of cost-optimal and near-optimal pathways for the UK electricity sector transition to 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 89-109.
  8. DeCarolis, Joseph & Daly, Hannah & Dodds, Paul & Keppo, Ilkka & Li, Francis & McDowall, Will & Pye, Steve & Strachan, Neil & Trutnevyte, Evelina & Usher, Will & Winning, Matthew & Yeh, Sonia & Zeyring, 2017. "Formalizing best practice for energy system optimization modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 184-198.
  9. Onifade, Temitope Tunbi, 2016. "Hybrid renewable energy support policy in the power sector: The contracts for difference and capacity market case study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 390-401.
  10. Guerra, Omar J. & Tejada, Diego A. & Reklaitis, Gintaras V., 2019. "Climate change impacts and adaptation strategies for a hydro-dominated power system via stochastic optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 584-598.
  11. Jalil-Vega, Francisca & García Kerdan, Iván & Hawkes, Adam D., 2020. "Spatially-resolved urban energy systems model to study decarbonisation pathways for energy services in cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  12. Borasio, M. & Moret, S., 2022. "Deep decarbonisation of regional energy systems: A novel modelling approach and its application to the Italian energy transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  13. Wang, Xiaoqing & Jin, Wenxin & Stan, Sebastian-Emanuel, 2025. "Empowering energy transition: Revisiting the dynamic impacts of Carbon emissions trading and the crude oil market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 988-1001.
  14. Panos, Evangelos & Kober, Tom & Wokaun, Alexander, 2019. "Long term evaluation of electric storage technologies vs alternative flexibility options for the Swiss energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
  15. Scott, Ian J. & Botterud, Audun & Carvalho, Pedro M.S. & Silva, Carlos A. Santos, 2020. "Renewable energy support policy evaluation: The role of long-term uncertainty in market modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
  16. Hall, Lisa M.H. & Buckley, Alastair R., 2016. "A review of energy systems models in the UK: Prevalent usage and categorisation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 607-628.
  17. Anna Stegman & Adrian De Andres & Henry Jeffrey & Lars Johanning & Stuart Bradley, 2017. "Exploring Marine Energy Potential in the UK Using a Whole Systems Modelling Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-20, August.
  18. Li, Pei-Hao & Zamanipour, Behzad & Keppo, Ilkka, 2024. "Revealing technological entanglements in uncertain decarbonisation pathways using bayesian networks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  19. repec:osf:osfxxx:aw4bd_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  20. Spilger, Maike & Schneider, Dennis & Weber, Christoph, 2025. "Uncertainty characterization for generation adequacy assessments – Including an application to the recent European energy crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  21. Haichao Wang & Giulia Di Pietro & Xiaozhou Wu & Risto Lahdelma & Vittorio Verda & Ilkka Haavisto, 2018. "Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transitions for Countries with Different Climates and Renewable Energy Sources Potentials," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-32, December.
  22. Pilpola, Sannamari & Lund, Peter D., 2020. "Analyzing the effects of uncertainties on the modelling of low-carbon energy system pathways," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
  23. Song, Xiaoling & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Zhe & Shen, Charles & Peña-Mora, Feniosky, 2021. "Economic-environmental equilibrium-based bi-level dispatch strategy towards integrated electricity and natural gas systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
  24. Le Thanh Tiep & Ngo Quang Huan & Tran Thi Thuy Hong, 2020. "The Impact of Renewable Energy on Sustainable Economic Growth in Vietnam," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 359-369.
  25. Mengzhu Xiao & Sonja Simon & Thomas Pregger, 2019. "Energy System Transitions in the Eastern Coastal Metropolitan Regions of China—The Role of Regional Policy Plans," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-30, January.
  26. Charlie Wilson & Céline Guivarch & Elmar Kriegler & Bas Ruijven & Detlef P. Vuuren & Volker Krey & Valeria Jana Schwanitz & Erica L. Thompson, 2021. "Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-22, May.
  27. Fodstad, Marte & Crespo del Granado, Pedro & Hellemo, Lars & Knudsen, Brage Rugstad & Pisciella, Paolo & Silvast, Antti & Bordin, Chiara & Schmidt, Sarah & Straus, Julian, 2022. "Next frontiers in energy system modelling: A review on challenges and the state of the art," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  28. Martino, Gaetano & Polinori, Paolo & Bufacchi, Marina & Rossetti, Enrica, 2020. "The biomass potential availability from olive cropping in Italy in a business perspective: Methodological approach and tentative estimates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 526-534.
  29. Babonneau, Frédéric & Haurie, Alain & Vielle, Marc, 2018. "Welfare implications of EU Effort Sharing Decision and possible impact of a hard Brexit," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 470-489.
  30. Pizarro-Alonso, Amalia & Ravn, Hans & Münster, Marie, 2019. "Uncertainties towards a fossil-free system with high integration of wind energy in long-term planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
  31. Moallemi, Enayat A. & de Haan, Fjalar & Kwakkel, Jan & Aye, Lu, 2017. "Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways: A case study of India's electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 271-287.
  32. Daniel Scamman & Baltazar Solano-Rodríguez & Steve Pye & Lai Fong Chiu & Andrew Z. P. Smith & Tiziano Gallo Cassarino & Mark Barrett & Robert Lowe, 2020. "Heat Decarbonisation Modelling Approaches in the UK: An Energy System Architecture Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-28, April.
  33. Lopion, Peter & Markewitz, Peter & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "A review of current challenges and trends in energy systems modeling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 156-166.
  34. McGlade, Christophe & Pye, Steve & Ekins, Paul & Bradshaw, Michael & Watson, Jim, 2018. "The future role of natural gas in the UK: A bridge to nowhere?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 454-465.
  35. Steve Pye & Chris Bataille, 2016. "Improving deep decarbonization modelling capacity for developed and developing country contexts," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(sup1), pages 27-46, June.
  36. Hao Li & Ying Qiao & Zongxiang Lu & Baosen Zhang, 2022. "Power System Transition with Multiple Flexibility Resources: A Data-Driven Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-25, February.
  37. Jalil-Vega, Francisca & Hawkes, Adam D., 2018. "The effect of spatial resolution on outcomes from energy systems modelling of heat decarbonisation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 339-350.
  38. Jåstad, Eirik Ogner & Trotter, Ian M. & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland, 2022. "Long term power prices and renewable energy market values in Norway – A probabilistic approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  39. Santos, Maria João & Ferreira, Paula & Araújo, Madalena, 2016. "A methodology to incorporate risk and uncertainty in electricity power planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P2), pages 1400-1411.
  40. Price, James & Keppo, Ilkka, 2017. "Modelling to generate alternatives: A technique to explore uncertainty in energy-environment-economy models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 356-369.
  41. Izanloo, Milad & Noorollahi, Younes & Aslani, Alireza, 2021. "Future energy planning to maximize renewable energy share for the south Caspian Sea climate," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 660-675.
  42. Jalil-Vega, F. & Hawkes, A.D., 2018. "Spatially resolved model for studying decarbonisation pathways for heat supply and infrastructure trade-offs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 1051-1072.
  43. Célia Escribe & Lucas Vivier, 2025. "Banning new gas boilers as a no-regret mitigation option," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-9, December.
  44. Jonathan Doh & Pawan Budhwar & Geoffrey Wood, 2021. "Long-term energy transitions and international business: Concepts, theory, methods, and a research agenda," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(5), pages 951-970, July.
  45. Goldschmidt, Rüdiger & Richter, Andreas & Pfeil, Raphael, 2019. "Active stakeholder involvement and organisational tasks as factors for an effective communication and governance strategy in the promotion of e-taxis. Results from a field research lab," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  46. Steve Pye & Christophe McGlade & Chris Bataille & Gabrial Anandarajah & Amandine Denis-Ryan & Vladimir Potashnikov, 2016. "Exploring national decarbonization pathways and global energy trade flows: a multi-scale analysis," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(sup1), pages 92-109, June.
  47. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Flores, Yarela, 2018. "Planning in a changing environment: Applications of portfolio optimisation to deal with risk in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3808-3823.
  48. Moret, Stefano & Codina Gironès, Víctor & Bierlaire, Michel & Maréchal, François, 2017. "Characterization of input uncertainties in strategic energy planning models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 597-617.
  49. Trutnevyte, Evelina, 2016. "Does cost optimization approximate the real-world energy transition?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 182-193.
  50. Weiwei Chen & Yibo Wang & Jia Zhang & Wei Dou & Yaxuan Jiao, 2022. "Planning and Energy–Economy–Environment–Security Evaluation Methods for Municipal Energy Systems in China under Targets of Peak Carbon Emissions and Carbon Neutrality," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-20, October.
  51. Nahmmacher, Paul & Schmid, Eva & Pahle, Michael & Knopf, Brigitte, 2016. "Strategies against shocks in power systems – An analysis for the case of Europe," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 455-465.
  52. Fragkos, Panagiotis & Laura van Soest, Heleen & Schaeffer, Roberto & Reedman, Luke & Köberle, Alexandre C. & Macaluso, Nick & Evangelopoulou, Stavroula & De Vita, Alessia & Sha, Fu & Qimin, Chai & Kej, 2021. "Energy system transitions and low-carbon pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU-28, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia and the United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
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