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The effect of temperature anomaly and macroeconomic fundamentals on agricultural commodity futures returns

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  1. Shanghui Jia & Xinhui Chen & Liyan Han & Jiayu Jin, 2023. "Global climate change and commodity markets: A hedging perspective," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1393-1422, October.
  2. Yang, Yao & McKenzie, Andrew, 2024. "The Impacts of USDA Reports on Pre-Harvest Volatility Expectations: the Case of Corn New Crop Futures," 2024 Conference, April 22-23, 2024, St. Louis, Missouri 379014, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  3. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Junxin & Zhang, Xinhua, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness and cross-quantile dependence between crude oil, Chinese commodity market, stock market and investor sentiment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  4. Renatas Kizys & Wael Rouatbi & Zaghum Umar & Adam Zaremba, 2024. "Air temperature and sovereign bond returns," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(2), pages 179-209, May.
  5. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  6. Natoli, Filippo, 2022. "Temperature surprise shocks," MPRA Paper 112568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Zhang, Dongna & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2023. "Impacts of weather conditions on the US commodity markets systemic interdependence across multi-timescales," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  8. Yang, Yu & Rong, Huilu & Cheng, Gaoxin & Gao, Hui, 2025. "Soybean futures responses to meteorological disaster risk —— Empirical evidence from the Chicago board of trade," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  9. An Cheng & Tonghui Chen & Guogang Jiang & Xinru Han, 2021. "Can Major Public Health Emergencies Affect Changes in International Oil Prices?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(24), pages 1-13, December.
  10. Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Shishi & Ding, Qian, 2024. "Does extreme climate change drive the connectedness among global gold markets? Evidence from TVP-VAR and causality-in-quantiles techniques," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  11. Lucidi, Francesco Simone & Pisa, Marta Maria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2024. "The effects of temperature shocks on energy prices and inflation in the Euro Area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  12. Mensi, Walid & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Gök, Remzi & Gemici, Eray & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2025. "Risk spillovers and diversification benefits between crude oil and agricultural commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
  13. Mastroeni, Loretta & Mazzoccoli, Alessandro & Quaresima, Greta, 2025. "Effects of the climate-related sentiment on agricultural spot prices: Insights from Wavelet Rényi Entropy analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  14. Attílio, Luccas Assis, 2025. "The impact of climate change and energy transition on production: Are the results sensitive to spillover effects?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
  15. Gregory, Richard P., 2024. "Risk premiums from temperature trends," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 505-525.
  16. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Climate risks and U.S. stock‐market tail risks: A forecasting experiment using over a century of data," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 228-244, June.
  17. Guo, Jin & Wen, Xiaoqian, 2024. "Option listing and underlying commodity futures volatility in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  18. Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis & Bernardas Vaznonis, 2022. "Short-Term Speculation Effects on Agricultural Commodity Returns and Volatility in the European Market Prior to and during the Pandemic," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, April.
  19. Ma, Yong & Zhou, Mingtao & Li, Shuaibing, 2024. "Weathering market swings: Does climate risk matter for agricultural commodity price predictability?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  20. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Co-movements between heterogeneous crude oil and food markets: Does temperature change really matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
  21. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
  22. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Goodell, John W. & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Gozgor, Giray, 2024. "Impact of climate risk shocks on global food and agricultural markets: A multiscale and tail connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  23. Tapia, Pablo & Pastén, Boris & Sepulveda Velasquez, Jorge, 2022. "Performance of the Chinese energy market in times of Russian military interventions," MPRA Paper 112747, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  24. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Cepni, Oguzhan & Pham, Linh & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "How connected is the agricultural commodity market to the news-based investor sentiment?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  25. Hou, Yang (Greg) & Xu, Danyang & Oxley, Les & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Price discovery of climate risk and green bonds: A dynamic information leadership share approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
  26. Pantoja-Robayo, Javier & Rodriguez-Guevara, David, 2023. "The Climate Effect on Colombian Coffee Prices and Quantities Based on Risk Analysis and the Hedging Strategy in Discrete Setting Approach," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 15(4), December.
  27. Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sheng, Lin Wen & Park, Donghyun & Zhu, Xuening, 2024. "Volatility dynamics of agricultural futures markets under uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  28. Xue, Jianhao & Dai, Xingyu & Zhang, Dongna & Nghiem, Xuan-Hoa & Wang, Qunwei, 2024. "Tail risk spillover network among green bond, energy and agricultural markets under extreme weather scenarios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
  29. Ronn, Ehud I., 2022. "Commodity market indicators of a 2023 Texas winter freeze," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  30. Xiaokang Hou & Shah Fahad & Peipei Zhao & Beibei Yan & Tianjun Liu, 2022. "The Trilogy of the Chinese Apple Futures Market: Price Discovery, Risk-Hedging and Cointegration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, October.
  31. Binrong Wu & Zhongrui Wang & Lin Wang, 2024. "Interpretable corn future price forecasting with multivariate time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1575-1594, August.
  32. Guo, Yangli & Peng, Pei & Zhou, Ling & Tang, Yusui, 2025. "Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with climate risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  33. Filippo Natoli, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of temperature surprise shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1407, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  34. Magdalena Cornejo & Nicolás Merener & Ezequiel Merovich, 2024. "Extreme Dry Spells and Larger Storms in the U.S. Midwest Raise Crop Prices," Working Papers 303, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
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