IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/zewdip/333928.html

Effects of the reverse charge mechanism on VAT gaps

Author

Listed:
  • Bohne, Albrecht
  • Hines, James R.
  • Koumpias, Antonios M.
  • Tassi, Annalisa

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of reverse-charge mechanism (RCM) implementation on VAT compliance using an overall, countrylevel measure of VAT compliance, the VAT gap. The VAT gap is defined as the overall difference between expected and realized VAT revenues and is a broader measure than outcomes employed in previous research, incorporating all types of VAT evasion. Exploiting the staggered adoption of RCM across Europe and the size of industries targeted by RCM, we compare changes in the VAT gap before and after RCM implementation. Evidence from difference-in-differences, event study, and heterogeneous treatment effects estimators indicates that the adoption of the RCM does not lead to significant EU-wide changes on the aggregate VAT gap. Moreover, our results illustrate the mixed impacts of RCM on different goods and industries, with measurable decreases in VAT losses in the construction and industrial crops industries. This study's findings do not provide strong support for policy changes that cast the net of the RCM wider on all industries and EU member states, although bilateral coordination in RCM adoption with top trading partners may assist in curbing VAT fraud relocation.

Suggested Citation

  • Bohne, Albrecht & Hines, James R. & Koumpias, Antonios M. & Tassi, Annalisa, 2025. "Effects of the reverse charge mechanism on VAT gaps," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-066, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:333928
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/333928/1/1945969008.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grzegorz Poniatowski & Adam Åšmietanka & Mikhail Bonch-Osmolovskiy, 2020. "Study and Reports on the VAT Gap in the EU-28 Member States: 2020 Final Report," CASE Reports 0503, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    2. Junttila, Juho & Koivisto, Aliisa & Nivala, Annika, 2024. "Improving VAT Compliance by Switching Who Remits the Tax: Evidence from Construction Firms," Working Papers 170, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Clément de Chaisemartin & Xavier D'Haultfœuille, 2020. "Two-Way Fixed Effects Estimators with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(9), pages 2964-2996, September.
    4. Keen, Michael & Lockwood, Ben, 2010. "The value added tax: Its causes and consequences," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 138-151, July.
    5. Tassi, Annalisa & Bussy, Adrien, 2025. "VAT collection only at the retail stage: Evidence on tax compliance," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-068, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    6. Alžběta Holá & Markéta Arltová & Hana Zídková, 2022. "VAT Listings within the EU Member States and Their Impact on Tax Evasion [Designing VAT Systems: Some Efficiency Considerations]," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 68(3), pages 297-318.
    7. Dina Pomeranz, 2015. "No Taxation without Information: Deterrence and Self-Enforcement in the Value Added Tax," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(8), pages 2539-2569, August.
    8. Martin T. Braml & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2022. "The EU self-surplus puzzle: an indication of VAT fraud?," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(5), pages 1075-1097, October.
    9. Boryana Madzharova, 2020. "Traceable Payments and VAT Design: Effects on VAT Performance," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 66(3), pages 221-247.
    10. Keen, Michael & Smith, Stephen, 2006. "VAT Fraud and Evasion: What Do We Know and What Can Be Done?," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 59(4), pages 861-887, December.
    11. Annalisa Tassi & Adrien Bussy, 2025. "VAT collection only at the retail stage: Evidence on tax compliance," FBK-IRVAPP Working Papers 2025-05, Research Institute for the Evaluation of Public Policies (IRVAPP), Bruno Kessler Foundation.
    12. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Albrecht Bohne & James R. Hines Jr. & Antonios M. Koumpias & Annalisa Tassi, 2026. "Effects of the Reverse Charge Mechanism on VAT Gaps," FBK-IRVAPP Working Papers 2026-01, Research Institute for the Evaluation of Public Policies (IRVAPP), Bruno Kessler Foundation.
    2. Adrien Bussy & Annalisa Tassi, 2025. "Cross-border value-added tax fraud in the European Union," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 161(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Annalisa Tassi & Adrien Bussy, 2025. "VAT collection only at the retail stage: Evidence on tax compliance," FBK-IRVAPP Working Papers 2025-05, Research Institute for the Evaluation of Public Policies (IRVAPP), Bruno Kessler Foundation.
    4. Yan Zhang & Zhuoran Bai & Christopher Findlay, 2024. "Value-added tax reform and service exports: Evidence from China," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 551-573, May.
    5. Jianjun Li & Xuan Wang, 2020. "Does VAT have higher tax compliance than a turnover tax? Evidence from China," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(2), pages 280-311, April.
    6. Iva Hasikova & Jan Hanousek, 2025. "VAT (non)compliance in the EU: Damaging corruption and shadow economy spillovers vs. government effectiveness and efficiency," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2025-100, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    7. Stiller, Wojciech & Heinemann, Marwin, 2024. "Do more harm than good? The optional reverse charge mechanism against cross-border tax fraud," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 61-84.
    8. Bohne, Albrecht & Koumpias, Antonios M. & Tassi, Annalisa, 2023. "Cashless payments and tax evasion: Evidence from VAT gaps in the EU," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-060, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    9. Sutirtha Bagchi & Libor Du ek, 2021. "Third-party Reporting and Tax Collections: Evidence from the Introduction of Withholding of the State Personal Income Tax," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 50, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    10. Harsha Konara Mudiyanselage & Shawn Xiaoguang Chen, 2022. "What impairs the ‘money machine’ of VAT in developing countries?," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(5), pages 1128-1159, October.
    11. Caro, Paolo Di & Sacchi, Agnese, 2020. "The heterogeneous effects of labor informality on VAT revenues: Evidence on a developed country," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    12. Thiess Buettner & Annalisa Tassi, 2023. "VAT fraud and reverse charge: empirical evidence from VAT return data," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(3), pages 849-878, June.
    13. Dytrychová, Alžběta & Zídková, Hana & Arltová, Markéta, 2024. "European VAT collection under the stress: Best to use few reduced rates," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1165-1185.
    14. Christiansen, Tobias Gabel, 2024. "Dynamic effects of tax audits and the role of intentions," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    15. Kotsogiannis, Christos & Salvadori, Luca & Karangwa, John & Murasi, Innocente, 2025. "E-invoicing, tax audits and VAT compliance," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    16. James Alm, 2019. "What Motivates Tax Compliance?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 353-388, April.
    17. Rubolino, Enrico, 2023. "Does weak enforcement deter tax progressivity?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    18. Xu, Yanhui & Deng, Fuhua & Feng, Qianbin, 2025. "The effect of tax enforcement digitalization on corporate digital transformation: Evidence from China's listed companies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 1105-1134.
    19. Li, Fan & Liu, Chengjun & Wang, Wenche, 2025. "The impact of value-added tax reform on small and medium-sized firm innovation: Evidence from China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    20. Bas Scheer & Wiljan van den Berge & Maarten Goos & Alan Manning & Anna Salomons, 2022. "Alternative Work Arrangements and Worker Outcomes: Evidence from Payrolling," CPB Discussion Paper 435, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:333928. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zemande.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.