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Zins- und Geldmengensteuerung in der offenen Volkswirtschaft: Eine Referenz an William Poole (und zugleich eine Kritik an der "Neuen Keynesianischen Makroökonomik")

  • Sell, Friedrich L.
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    Given all the evidence supporting Milton Friedman's proposition that inflation is now and every-where a monetary phenomenon, it seems that we are wrong when we tend to ignore the behaviour of the monetary aggregates at our peril. The total neglect of information about the monetary aggregates in the Taylor rule is a strong signal into that erroneous direction. Moreover, so-called "New Keynesianism" has put forward that there is no more need to treat the money market equilibrium in an "LM-setting". Our paper goes back to William Poole's analysis of interest rate and money supply rules and extends his earlier analysis to the open economy, alternative exchange rate regimes and various types of shocks. The results achieved confirm not only that the inclusion of the money market equilibrium enhances the possibilities to compare the costs and benefits of different monetary strategies, but also suggests that monetary strategies such as Taylor rules can be improved when opening up natural avenues to extend the rule by considering monetary aggregates.

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    Paper provided by Universität der Bundeswehr München, Economic Research Group in its series Working Papers in Economics with number 2005,2.

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    Date of creation: 2005
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:ubwwpe:20052
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    1. William Poole, 1999. "Monetary policy rules?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 3-12.
    2. David H. Romer, 2000. "Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 149-169, Spring.
    3. Gerberding, Christina & Worms, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2004. "How the Bundesbank really conducted monetary policy: An analysis based on real-time data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,25, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
    4. Peter Bofinger & Eric Mayer, 2007. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in the Euro Area with Different Assumptions on the Phillips Curve," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 291-305, July.
    5. William Poole, 1970. "Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model," Staff Studies 57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Sell, Friedrich L., 2004. "Währungspolitik im Dienste von Entwicklung : Immer noch ein Forschungsprogramm!," Working Papers in Economics 2004,2, Universität der Bundeswehr München, Economic Research Group.
    7. Guender, Alfred V. & Tam, Julie, 2004. "On the performance of nominal income targeting as a strategy for monetary policy in a small open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 143-163, March.
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