IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwkie/314949.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Update: Wo stehen die öffentlichen Finanzen in und nach der Corona-Krise?

Author

Listed:
  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens

Abstract

Die Corona-Krise hat zu einem starken Konjunktureinbruch in Deutschland geführt. Nach einem zwischenzeitlichen konjunkturellen Aufholprozess führen der Anstieg der Fallzahlen und die damit einhergehenden erneuten Einschränkungen des öffentlichen Lebens im November wieder zu Beeinträchtigungen des wirtschaftlichen Lebens. Das weitere Infektionsgeschehen ist schwer abzuschätzen. Diese Unsicherheit überträgt sich auf den wirtschaftlichen Ausblick. In einem solchen Umfeld stehen Konjunkturprognosen großen Herausforderungen gegenüber und die Prognosezahlen müssen mit Vorsicht interpretiert werden. In diesem Gutachten wird anhand aktueller Prognosen, insbesondere der Ergebnisse der Steuerschätzung, die Lage der öffentlichen Finanzen diskutiert. Eine besondere Bedeutung hat dabei die Frage, wie die Finanzpolitik einen Pfad zur regulären Schuldenbremse gestalten kann, der den aktuellen Unwägbarkeiten Rechnung trägt. Nach jetzigem Stand sind dabei mittel- bis langfristig Konsolidierungsmaßnehmen unvermeidbar.

Suggested Citation

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2020. "Update: Wo stehen die öffentlichen Finanzen in und nach der Corona-Krise?," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 314949, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:314949
    Note: Kurzgutachten im Auftrag der Initiative Neue Soziale Marktwirtschaft
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/314949/1/1752024974.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Clemens Fuest & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Marcel Fratzscher & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Claus Michelsen & Michael Hüther & Peter Bofinger & Lars P. Feld & Wolf Heinrich Reuter, 2019. "Schuldenbremse — Investitionshemmnis oder Vorbild für Europa? [Debt Brake — Investment Barrier or Role Model for Europe?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 99(5), pages 307-329, May.
    2. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, 2015. "National numerical fiscal rules: Not complied with, but still effective?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 67-81.
    3. Christian Magin, 2010. "Die Wirkungslosigkeit der neuen Schuldenbremse," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 90(4), pages 262-268, April.
    4. Heinz Gebhardt & Lars-H. Siemers, 2020. "Staatsfinanzen in der Corona-Krise: Günstige Bedingungen sichern Handlungsfähigkeit [The German Public Finances in the COVID-19 Pandemic]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(7), pages 501-506, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Johannes Blum & Klaus Gründler & Raphael de Britto Schiller & Niklas Potrafke, 2019. "Die Schuldenbremse in der Diskussion – Teilnehmer des Ökonomenpanels mehrheitlich für Beibehaltung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(22), pages 27-33, November.
    2. Afonso, António & Huart, Florence & Tovar Jalles, João & Stanek, Piotr, 2022. "Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    3. David Cronin, 2020. "Are Member States’ Budgetary Policies Adhering to the EU Fiscal Rules?," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 66(1), pages 47-64.
    4. Amelie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Kea BARET & Alexandru MINEA, 2019. "National Fiscal Rules Adoption and Fiscal Discipline in the European Union," Working Papers of BETA 2019-40, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    5. Robert Kraemer & Jonne Lehtimäki, 2024. "Government debt, European Institutions and fiscal rules: a synthetic control approach," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(4), pages 1112-1157, August.
    6. Ech-charfi, Nour-eddine, 2024. "Fiscal rules, capital controls, and cross-border financial integration," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    7. Mitze, Timo & Matz, Florian, 2015. "Public debt and growth in German federal states: What can Europe learn?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 208-228.
    8. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, 2019. "When and why do countries break their national fiscal rules?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 125-141.
    9. Ablam Estel APETI & Bao-We-Wal BAMBE & Jean Louis COMBES, 2022. "On the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Reforms : Fiscal Rules and Public Expenditure Efficiency," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2985, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    10. Kéa Baret & Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Théophilos Papadimitriou, 2021. "Forecasting the Stability and Growth Pact compliance using Machine Learning," Working Papers of BETA 2021-01, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    11. Andrián, Leandro & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Urrea, Ivan Leonardo & Valencia, Oscar, 2024. "Fiscal rules and economic cycles: Quality (always) Matters," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Larch, Martin & Orseau, Eloïse & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2021. "Do EU fiscal rules support or hinder counter-cyclical fiscal policy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    13. Sigl-Glöckner, Philippa & Krahé, Max & Schneemelcher, Pola & Schuster, Florian & Hilbert, Viola & Meyer, Henrika, 2021. "Eine neue deutsche Finanzpolitik," Papers 277883, Dezernat Zukunft - Institute for Macrofinance, Berlin.
    14. Valencia, Oscar & Ulloa-Suarez, Carolina, 2022. "Numerical Compliance with Fiscal Rules in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12405, Inter-American Development Bank.
    15. Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Kea Baret & Alexandru Minea, 2021. "National fiscal rules and fiscal discipline in the European Union," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(20), pages 2337-2359, April.
    16. Sigl-Glöckner, Philippa & Krahé, Max & Schneemelcher, Pola & Schuster, Florian & Hilbert, Viola & Meyer, Henrika, 2021. "A new fiscal policy for Germany," Papers 277884, Dezernat Zukunft - Institute for Macrofinance, Berlin.
    17. Katharina Spraul & Julia Thaler, 2020. "Partnering for good? An analysis of how to achieve sustainability-related outcomes in public–private partnerships," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 13(2), pages 485-511, July.
    18. Beetsma, Roel & Debrun, Xavier & Fang, Xiangming & Kim, Young & Lledó, Victor & Mbaye, Samba & Zhang, Xiaoxiao, 2019. "Independent fiscal councils: Recent trends and performance," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 53-69.
    19. Mathias Hoffmann & Iryna Stewen & Michael Stiefel, 2021. "Growing Like Germany: Local Public Debt, Local Bank, Low Private Investment," CESifo Working Paper Series 9496, CESifo.
    20. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, 2022. "Berlin sieht es locker — Brüssel (noch) nicht [Berlin Takes It Easy — Brussels (Still) Does Not]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(1), pages 19-22, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:314949. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.