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Opinion on the Replication Debate over Heyes and Saberian (2019)

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  • Roodman, David

Abstract

Heyes and Saberian (2019) finds that U.S. immigration judges are less likely to grant asylum in cases heard on warmer days. Spamann (2022) corrects errors in that paper, enlarges the sample, proposes additional revisions, and strongly challenges the conclusion. In a rejoinder, Heyes and Saberian (2022) incorporates many of these comments, yet maintains that "results…are qualitatively un-changed." Experimenting with a new academic-literary form, I review the case as a judge might, to offer a take that is more independent and legible than the partisans can offer. I agree with Spamann (2022): the only viable explanation for the combined evidence is publication bias or other forms of result filtration.

Suggested Citation

  • Roodman, David, 2025. "Opinion on the Replication Debate over Heyes and Saberian (2019)," I4R Discussion Paper Series 227, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:i4rdps:227
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/316399/1/I4R-DP227.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joshua B. Fischman, 2014. "Measuring Inconsistency, Indeterminacy, and Error in Adjudication," American Law and Economics Review, American Law and Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 40-85.
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