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Nachhaltige Mobilität und innovative Geschäftsmodelle

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  • Doll, Claus
  • Krauss, Konstantin

Abstract

Die Studie verfolgt das Ziel, das Marktumfeld, Angebote und Erfahrungen geteilter Mobilitätsdienste in Deutschland zu analysieren, sowie Szenarien bis zum Jahr 2030 zu entwickeln. Der analytische Teil fasst den aktuellen Stand des Wissens zu geteilten Mobilitätsdiensten zusammen. Der Modellierungsteil entwickelt anschließend ein bisher in dieser Form neues prognosefähiges Modul geteilter Mobilitätsdienste für das systemdynamische Verkehrs- und Wirtschaftsmodell ASTRA-M des Fraunhofer ISI und wendet dieses auf Metropolen und ländliche Räume in Deutschland an. Carsharing und Ridepooling haben bis 2030 das Potenzial, über zwei Prozent der Wege abzudecken. In Metropolen ist deren Potenzial um etwa 50 % höher; ländliche Räume können jedoch insbesondere über den Ausbau von Ridepooling aufholen. Die größte Nachfragewirkung entfalten ökonomische Instrumente wie Pkw-Abgaben und der CO2-Preis. Durch den zusätzlichen Ausbau des ÖPNV lassen sich 24 % Treibhausgasemissionen gegenüber 2020 einsparen. Eigenwirtschaftliche Geschäftsmodelle geteilter Mobilitätsdienste bleiben auch bei höherer Nachfrage schwierig und hängen stark vom politischen Rahmen ab.

Suggested Citation

  • Doll, Claus & Krauss, Konstantin, 2022. "Nachhaltige Mobilität und innovative Geschäftsmodelle," Studien zum deutschen Innovationssystem 10-2022, Expertenkommission Forschung und Innovation (EFI) - Commission of Experts for Research and Innovation, Berlin.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:efisdi:102022
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