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Social security reform : the capital accumulation and intergenerational distribution effect

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  • Arrau, Patricio

Abstract

Reforming the social security system has received increasing attention in recent years. This paper studies a switch from an unfunded defined-benefit system (pay-as-you-go) to a fully-funded defined-contribution system in a stable demographic environment. While the former finances current pensions with current social security taxes which are not perceived as linked to the benefits, the latter finances the pensions out of the funds accumulated in special accounts for retirement purposes. Therefore, the contributions are directly linked to the benefits. The paper describes the theoretical model and discusses the data for the calibration. The model is calibrated to resemble the Mexican economy and indicates how the reform is actually carried out and the alternatives of the government to finance the transition. The simulation results are presented and the main results are summarized.

Suggested Citation

  • Arrau, Patricio, 1990. "Social security reform : the capital accumulation and intergenerational distribution effect," Policy Research Working Paper Series 512, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:512
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boskin, Michael J. & Kotlikoff, Lawrence J. & Puffert, Douglas J. & Shoven, John B., 1986. "Social Security: A Financial Appraisal Across and Within Generations," CEPR Publications 244432, Stanford University, Center for Economic Policy Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rodrigo Cifuentes, 1995. "Reforma de los Sistemas Previsionales: Aspectos Macroeconómicos," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 32(96), pages 217-250.
    2. Arrau, Patricio & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 1995. "Pensions systems and reform : country experiences and research issues," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1470, The World Bank.
    3. Carlos Sales-Sarrapy & Fernando Solis-Soberon & Alejandro Villagomez-Amezcua, 1998. "Pension System Reform: The Mexican Case," NBER Chapters, in: Privatizing Social Security, pages 135-175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Grandolini & Grandolini, Gloria & Cerda, Luis, 1998. "The 1997 pension reform in Mexico," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1933, The World Bank.
    5. Maria Ogonek, 2003. "Transformation of the Repartition Pension System into a Mixed System," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 10.
    6. Alvaro Forteza, 1998. "Los efectos de la Reforma uruguaya de la Seguridad Social en el ahorro," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 1098, Department of Economics - dECON.
    7. Serrano, Carlos, 1999. "Social security reform, income disribution, fiscal policy, and capital accumulation," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2055, The World Bank.
    8. Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1998. "Simulating the Privatization of Social Security in General Equilibrium," NBER Chapters, in: Privatizing Social Security, pages 265-311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1996. "Privatization of Social Security: How It Works and Why It Matters," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 10, pages 1-32, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. repec:pid:wpaper:2010:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Eduardo Walker & Fernando Lefort, 2002. "Pension Reform And Capital Markets: Are There Any (Hard) Links?," Abante, Escuela de Administracion. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 5(2), pages 77-149.
    12. Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1998. "Privatizing U.S. Social Security: some possible effects on intergenerational equity and the economy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Mar, pages 31-37.
    13. Bravo, Jorge Horacio, 1994. "Demographic changes and unfunded pension systems: financial aspects," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34701, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    14. Amjad, Rashid & Din, Musleh ud, 2010. "Economic and social impact of global financial crisis: implications for macroeconomic and development policies in South Asia," MPRA Paper 38150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Kotlikoff, Laurence, 1996. "A társadalombiztosítás privatizálása hogyan működik és miért fontos? [Privatization of social security how it works and why it matters?]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1045-1071.
    16. Yan Wang & Fan Zhai, 2004. "La réforme des retraites en Chine : enjeux, options et conséquences," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 77(4), pages 309-328.

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