IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/10049.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Mobility and Resilience : A Global Assessment of Flood Impacts on Road Transportation Networks

Author

Listed:
  • He,Yiyi
  • Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik
  • Avner,Paolo
  • Gao,Jianxi
  • Yue,Xiangyu
  • Radke,John

Abstract

This study provides the first global evaluation of both direct and indirect flood hazard impactson road transportation networks. It constructs topological road networks for 2,564 human settlements, representing over14 million kilometers of urban roads. It assesses their exposure to pluvial and fluvial flood risks under 10scenarios, corresponding to different flood intensities (1:5 year to 1:1,000 year return periods). Under each scenario,the study analyzes direct infrastructure exposure and assesses the indirect effects of flood-induced mobilitydisruptions: route failures, travel delays, and travel distance increases. The results document a positiverelationship between flood return period and flood impact (both direct and indirect). Compared with direct floodhazard exposure, the indirect impact of floods on mobility is more prominent and heterogeneous. The average share ofthe road network that is flooded by at least 0.3 meters is 3.64 percent (or 24.84 percent) under the 5-year (or1,000-year) return period, yet 11.58 percent (or 65.67 percent) of the simulated trips fail in the same scenario.The results enable comparisons of exposure and vulnerability of road networks to flood hazards across countries, allowingthe identification and prioritization of urban transport resilience measures.

Suggested Citation

  • He,Yiyi & Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Avner,Paolo & Gao,Jianxi & Yue,Xiangyu & Radke,John, 2022. "Mobility and Resilience : A Global Assessment of Flood Impacts on Road Transportation Networks," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10049, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:10049
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099552305172228687/pdf/IDU0e38cb88d018d704a8e08a220c09ce9f1be91.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jianxi Gao & Baruch Barzel & Albert-László Barabási, 2016. "Erratum: Universal resilience patterns in complex networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 536(7615), pages 238-238, August.
    2. Evangelos Mitsakis & Iraklis Stamos & Anestis Papanikolaou & Georgia Aifadopoulou & Haris Kontoes, 2014. "Assessment of extreme weather events on transport networks: case study of the 2007 wildfires in Peloponnesus," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(1), pages 87-107, May.
    3. Jianxi Gao & Baruch Barzel & Albert-László Barabási, 2016. "Universal resilience patterns in complex networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 530(7590), pages 307-312, February.
    4. Hessel C. Winsemius & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Ludovicus P. H. van Beek & Marc F. P. Bierkens & Arno Bouwman & Brenden Jongman & Jaap C. J. Kwadijk & Willem Ligtvoet & Paul L. Lucas & Detlef P. van Vuu, 2016. "Global drivers of future river flood risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(4), pages 381-385, April.
    5. Nogal, Maria & O'Connor, Alan & Caulfield, Brian & Martinez-Pastor, Beatriz, 2016. "Resilience of traffic networks: From perturbation to recovery via a dynamic restricted equilibrium model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 84-96.
    6. Pan, Shouzheng & Yan, Hai & He, Jia & He, Zhengbing, 2021. "Vulnerability and resilience of transportation systems: A recent literature review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    7. Nigel Arnell & Ben Lloyd-Hughes, 2014. "The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(1), pages 127-140, January.
    8. López, Fernando A. & Páez, Antonio & Carrasco, Juan A. & Ruminot, Natalia A., 2017. "Vulnerability of nodes under controlled network topology and flow autocorrelation conditions," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 77-87.
    9. Corinne Curt & Jean‐Marc Tacnet, 2018. "Resilience of Critical Infrastructures: Review and Analysis of Current Approaches," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2441-2458, November.
    10. Weiping Wang & Saini Yang & H. Eugene Stanley & Jianxi Gao, 2019. "Local floods induce large-scale abrupt failures of road networks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. M. T. Gastner & M. E.J. Newman, 2006. "The spatial structure of networks," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 49(2), pages 247-252, January.
    12. Sun, Lishan & Huang, Yuchen & Chen, Yanyan & Yao, Liya, 2018. "Vulnerability assessment of urban rail transit based on multi-static weighted method in Beijing, China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 12-24.
    13. Zhang, X. & Miller-Hooks, E. & Denny, K., 2015. "Assessing the role of network topology in transportation network resilience," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 35-45.
    14. Philip J. Ward & Brenden Jongman & Peter Salamon & Alanna Simpson & Paul Bates & Tom De Groeve & Sanne Muis & Erin Coughlan de Perez & Roberto Rudari & Mark A. Trigg & Hessel C. Winsemius, 2015. "Usefulness and limitations of global flood risk models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 712-715, August.
    15. Azucena Román-de la Sancha & Rodolfo Silva, 2020. "Multivariable Analysis of Transport Network Seismic Performance: Mexico City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-40, November.
    16. Hans Visser & Arthur Petersen & Willem Ligtvoet, 2014. "On the relation between weather-related disaster impacts, vulnerability and climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 125(3), pages 461-477, August.
    17. E. E. Koks & J. Rozenberg & C. Zorn & M. Tariverdi & M. Vousdoukas & S. A. Fraser & J. W. Hall & S. Hallegatte, 2019. "A global multi-hazard risk analysis of road and railway infrastructure assets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    18. Yukiko Hirabayashi & Roobavannan Mahendran & Sujan Koirala & Lisako Konoshima & Dai Yamazaki & Satoshi Watanabe & Hyungjun Kim & Shinjiro Kanae, 2013. "Global flood risk under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 816-821, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pan, Shouzheng & Yan, Hai & He, Jia & He, Zhengbing, 2021. "Vulnerability and resilience of transportation systems: A recent literature review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    2. Zhiqiang Yin & Yixin Hu & Katie Jenkins & Yi He & Nicole Forstenhäusler & Rachel Warren & Lili Yang & Rhosanna Jenkins & Dabo Guan, 2021. "Assessing the economic impacts of future fluvial flooding in six countries under climate change and socio-economic development," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 1-21, June.
    3. Chan, Ho-Yin & Chen, Anthony & Li, Guoyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Lam, William, 2021. "Evaluating the value of new metro lines using route diversity measures: The case of Hong Kong's Mass Transit Railway system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Hao, Yucheng & Jia, Limin & Zio, Enrico & Wang, Yanhui & Small, Michael & Li, Man, 2023. "Improving resilience of high-speed train by optimizing repair strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili & Yan, Kesheng, 2019. "Vulnerability analysis and critical area identification of public transport system: A case of high-speed rail and air transport coupling system in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 55-70.
    6. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili, 2020. "A comprehensive method for the robustness assessment of high-speed rail network with operation data: A case in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 666-681.
    7. Liang, Zhenglin & Li, Yan-Fu, 2023. "Holistic Resilience and Reliability Measures for Cellular Telecommunication Networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    8. Dongli, Duan & Chengxing, Wu & Yuchen, Zhai & Changchun, Lv & Ning, Wang, 2022. "Coexistence mechanism of alien species and local ecosystem based on network dimensionality reduction method," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    9. Mo, Baichuan & Koutsopoulos, Haris N. & Zhao, Jinhua, 2022. "Inferring passenger responses to urban rail disruptions using smart card data: A probabilistic framework," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    10. Laura Devitt & Jeffrey Neal & Gemma Coxon & James Savage & Thorsten Wagener, 2023. "Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Hong, Liu & Ye, Bowen & Yan, Han & Zhang, Hui & Ouyang, Min & (Sean) He, Xiaozheng, 2019. "Spatiotemporal vulnerability analysis of railway systems with heterogeneous train flows," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 725-744.
    12. Álvarez, Xana & Gómez-Rúa, María & Vidal-Puga, Juan, 2019. "Risk prevention of land flood: A cooperative game theory approach," MPRA Paper 91515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Julien Boulange & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Masahiro Tanoue & Toshinori Yamada, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of flood damage methodologies under a portfolio of adaptation scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 1855-1879, September.
    14. Gangwal, Utkarsh & Singh, Mayank & Pandey, Pradumn Kumar & Kamboj, Deepak & Chatterjee, Samrat & Bhatia, Udit, 2022. "Identifying early-warning indicators of onset of sudden collapse in networked infrastructure systems against sequential disruptions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 591(C).
    15. Yin, Kai & Wu, Jianjun & Wang, Weiping & Lee, Der-Horng & Wei, Yun, 2023. "An integrated resilience assessment model of urban transportation network: A case study of 40 cities in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    16. Hu, Xinlei & Huang, Jie & Shi, Feng, 2022. "A robustness assessment with passenger flow data of high-speed rail network in China," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1).
    17. Lu, Qing-Chang & Zhang, Lei & Xu, Peng-Cheng & Cui, Xin & Li, Jing, 2022. "Modeling network vulnerability of urban rail transit under cascading failures: A Coupled Map Lattices approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    18. Meng, Xiangyi & Zhou, Bin, 2023. "Scale-free networks beyond power-law degree distribution," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    19. Alejandro Martínez-Calvo & Matthew D. Biviano & Anneline H. Christensen & Eleni Katifori & Kaare H. Jensen & Miguel Ruiz-García, 2024. "The fluidic memristor as a collective phenomenon in elastohydrodynamic networks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    20. Che, Yiming & Zhang, Ziang (John) & Cheng, Changqing, 2023. "Physical–statistical learning in resilience assessment for power generation systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:10049. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.