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Usefulness and limitations of global flood risk models

Author

Listed:
  • Philip J. Ward

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam)

  • Brenden Jongman

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam
    Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, World Bank Group)

  • Peter Salamon

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

  • Alanna Simpson

    (Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, World Bank Group)

  • Paul Bates

    (University of Bristol
    SSBN Flood Risk Solutions)

  • Tom De Groeve

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre)

  • Sanne Muis

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam)

  • Erin Coughlan de Perez

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam
    Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
    International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University)

  • Roberto Rudari

    (CIMA Research Foundation)

  • Mark A. Trigg

    (University of Bristol)

  • Hessel C. Winsemius

    (Deltares)

Abstract

Global flood risk models were developed to identify risk hotspots in a world with increasing flood occurrence. Here we assess the ability and limitations of the current models and suggest what is needed moving forward.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip J. Ward & Brenden Jongman & Peter Salamon & Alanna Simpson & Paul Bates & Tom De Groeve & Sanne Muis & Erin Coughlan de Perez & Roberto Rudari & Mark A. Trigg & Hessel C. Winsemius, 2015. "Usefulness and limitations of global flood risk models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 712-715, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:5:y:2015:i:8:d:10.1038_nclimate2742
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2742
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    Cited by:

    1. Mahdi Bitarafan & Kambod Amini Hosseini & Sarfaraz Hashemkhani Zolfani, 2023. "Evaluating Natural Hazards in Cities Using a Novel Integrated MCDM Approach (Case Study: Tehran City)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Axel Risling & Sara Lindersson & Luigia Brandimarte, 2024. "A comparison of global flood models using Sentinel-1 and a change detection approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(12), pages 11133-11152, September.
    3. He,Yiyi & Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Avner,Paolo & Gao,Jianxi & Yue,Xiangyu & Radke,John, 2022. "Mobility and Resilience : A Global Assessment of Flood Impacts on Road Transportation Networks," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10049, The World Bank.
    4. Kai Parker & Li Erikson & Jennifer Thomas & Kees Nederhoff & Patrick Barnard & Sanne Muis, 2023. "Relative contributions of water-level components to extreme water levels along the US Southeast Atlantic Coast from a regional-scale water-level hindcast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2219-2248, July.
    5. Fangtian Liu & Erqi Xu & Hongqi Zhang, 2024. "Assessing typhoon disaster mitigation capacity and its uncertainty analysis in Hainan, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(11), pages 9401-9420, September.
    6. Desirée Tullos & Elizabeth Byron & Gerald Galloway & Jayantha Obeysekera & Om Prakash & Yung-Hsin Sun, 2016. "Review of challenges of and practices for sustainable management of mountain flood hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(3), pages 1763-1797, September.
    7. Capriolo, A. & Boschetto, R.G. & Mascolo, R.A. & Balbi, S. & Villa, F., 2020. "Biophysical and economic assessment of four ecosystem services for natural capital accounting in Italy," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    8. Alexandra Toimil & Iñigo J. Losada & Pedro Díaz-Simal & Cristina Izaguirre & Paula Camus, 2017. "Multi-sectoral, high-resolution assessment of climate change consequences of coastal flooding," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 431-444, December.
    9. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
    10. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Ho Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
    11. Alexander Fekete & Katerina Tzavella & Roland Baumhauer, 2017. "Spatial exposure aspects contributing to vulnerability and resilience assessments of urban critical infrastructure in a flood and blackout context," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 151-176, March.
    12. Lisa C. Kelley & Agung Prabowo, 2019. "Flooding and Land Use Change in Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-19, September.

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