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Spillover effects of the recent US monetary policy shocks on the South African economy: The role of monetary and fiscal policy coordination

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  • Guangling Liu
  • Marrium Mustapher

Abstract

This study examines how different policy mix regimes affect the impact of recent US contractionary monetary policy on South Africa's inflation and business cycles. The study uses a small open economy New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with an integrated fiscal block to analyse these effects. Regime M (active monetary policy) is more effective at containing the spillover effects but leads to higher public debt, requiring larger future fiscal surpluses.

Suggested Citation

  • Guangling Liu & Marrium Mustapher, 2024. "Spillover effects of the recent US monetary policy shocks on the South African economy: The role of monetary and fiscal policy coordination," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2024-68, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2024-68
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camila Casas & Mr. Federico J Diez & Ms. Gita Gopinath & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2017. "Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies," IMF Working Papers 2017/264, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Xi Wang & Jiayang Li & Guangbin Zhang, 2022. "Mixed Monetary–Fiscal Policies and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: An Analysis Based on the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(2), pages 167-196, March.
    3. Prachi Mishra & Papa N’Diaye & Lam Nguyen, 2018. "Effects of Fed Announcements on Emerging Markets: What Determines Financial Market Reactions?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 66(4), pages 732-762, December.
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