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Forecasting with Interval and Histogram Data. Some Financial Applications

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  • Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera

    (Department of Economics, University of California Riverside)

  • Javier Arroyo
  • Carlos Mate

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Javier Arroyo & Carlos Mate, 2011. "Forecasting with Interval and Histogram Data. Some Financial Applications," Working Papers 201438, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucr:wpaper:201438
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    File URL: https://economics.ucr.edu/repec/ucr/wpaper/201438.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zellner, Arnold & Tobias, Justin, 1998. "A Note on Aggregation, Disaggregation and Forecasting Performance," CUDARE Working Papers 198677, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    2. Parkinson, Michael, 1980. "The Extreme Value Method for Estimating the Variance of the Rate of Return," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 61-65, January.
    3. Ball, Clifford A & Torous, Walter N, 1984. "The Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Security Price Volatility: Theory, Evidence, and Application to Option Pricing," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(1), pages 97-112, January.
    4. Garman, Mark B & Klass, Michael J, 1980. "On the Estimation of Security Price Volatilities from Historical Data," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 67-78, January.
    5. Charles F. Manski & Elie Tamer, 2002. "Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(2), pages 519-546, March.
    6. Lima Neto, Eufrasio de A. & de Carvalho, Francisco de A.T., 2008. "Centre and Range method for fitting a linear regression model to symbolic interval data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 1500-1515, January.
    7. Yang, Dennis & Zhang, Qiang, 2000. "Drift-Independent Volatility Estimation Based on High, Low, Open, and Close Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73(3), pages 477-491, July.
    8. Yan-Leung Cheung & Yin-Wong Cheung & Alan T. K. Wan, 2009. "A high-low model of daily stock price ranges," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 103-119.
    9. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    10. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Range‐Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1047-1091, June.
    11. Arroyo, Javier & Maté, Carlos, 2009. "Forecasting histogram time series with k-nearest neighbours methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 192-207.
    12. Billard L. & Diday E., 2003. "From the Statistics of Data to the Statistics of Knowledge: Symbolic Data Analysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 470-487, January.
    13. Lima Neto, Eufrásio de A. & de Carvalho, Francisco de A.T., 2010. "Constrained linear regression models for symbolic interval-valued variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 333-347, February.
    14. García-Ascanio, Carolina & Maté, Carlos, 2010. "Electric power demand forecasting using interval time series: A comparison between VAR and iMLP," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 715-725, February.
    15. Gloria González-Rivera & Tae-Hwy Lee & Santosh Mishra, 2008. "Jumps in cross-sectional rank and expected returns: a mixture model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 585-606.
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    1. González-Rivera, Gloria & Arroyo, Javier, 2012. "Time series modeling of histogram-valued data: The daily histogram time series of S&P500 intradaily returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 20-33.

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