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Vertical Governance of Online Speech: Evidence from Google's Moderation Mandate

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  • Michael McRae

    (Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin)

Abstract

This paper provides the first causal evidence that upstream infrastructure providers can reshape social media discourse by enforcing content moderation through access-based leverage. I exploit a 2022 update to Google's Play Store policy requiring stricter removal of violent threats and misinformation, along with variation in platform exposure across three similar 'Alt-Tech' social media platforms, within a triple-differences design. Using a novel panel of over 28 million posts from 62,000 users, I find that threatening content declined sharply and persistently on the exposed platforms, particularly among high-risk users. These effects are not explained by user self-censorship, public awareness, contemporaneous events, or selective data loss. I also document significant reductions in lawful but politically sensitive narratives, including election denial and January 6 insurrection commentary. The findings show how infrastructure-level enforcement can durably alter the boundaries of permissible speech across platforms, contributing to literatures on platform governance, vertical restraints in digital markets, and the institutional foundations of online discourse.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael McRae, 2025. "Vertical Governance of Online Speech: Evidence from Google's Moderation Mandate," Trinity Economics Papers tep1425, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tcd:tcduee:tep1425
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    File URL: https://www.tcd.ie/Economics/TEP/2025/TEP1425.pdf
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • L86 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
    • L82 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Entertainment; Media

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