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Do Macroeconomic Conditions Matter for Agriculture? The Indian Experience

  • Shashanka Bhide

    (Institute for social and Economic Change)

  • Meenakshi Rajeev
  • B.P. Vani

Macroeconomic instability, characterised by high inflation, a fragile foreign exchange position, high rates of interest, increases uncertainty for any investor or producer and hence slows down economic growth. While this is generally accepted, the usual perception about the agricultural sector, particularly in India, is that it is immune to general macroeconomic shocks. In this paper, we intend to examine this perception formally using a vector auto regressive model. By studying the significance of macroeconomic conditions to the agricultural sector, we observe that the sector is not insulated from macroeconomic shocks.

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Paper provided by Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore in its series Working Papers with number 162.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sch:wpaper:162
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  1. Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y., 1997. "Generalised Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9710, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
  3. Rangarajan, C., 1982. "Agricultural growth and industrial performance in India:," Research reports 33, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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