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Do Macroeconomic Conditions Matter for Agriculture? The Indian Experience


  • Shashanka Bhide

    (Institute for social and Economic Change)

  • Meenakshi Rajeev
  • B.P. Vani


Macroeconomic instability, characterised by high inflation, a fragile foreign exchange position, high rates of interest, increases uncertainty for any investor or producer and hence slows down economic growth. While this is generally accepted, the usual perception about the agricultural sector, particularly in India, is that it is immune to general macroeconomic shocks. In this paper, we intend to examine this perception formally using a vector auto regressive model. By studying the significance of macroeconomic conditions to the agricultural sector, we observe that the sector is not insulated from macroeconomic shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Shashanka Bhide & Meenakshi Rajeev & B.P. Vani, 2005. "Do Macroeconomic Conditions Matter for Agriculture? The Indian Experience," Working Papers 162, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
  • Handle: RePEc:sch:wpaper:162

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Rangarajan, C., 1982. "Agricultural growth and industrial performance in India:," Research reports 33, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    3. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
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    More about this item


    Agricultural Growth; Macroeconomic instability;

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General


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