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The Time Varying Properties of Credit and Liquidity Components of CDS Spreads

Author

Listed:
  • Filippo Coro

    (ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading)

  • Alfonso Dufour

    (ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading)

  • Simone Varotto

    (ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading)

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of credit and liquidity factors in explaining corporate CDS price changes during normal and crisis periods. We find that liquidity risk is more important than credit risk regardless of market conditions. Moreover, in the period prior to the recent 'Great Recession' credit risk plays no role in explaining CDS price changes. The dominance of liquidity effects casts serious doubts on the relevance of CDS price changes as an indicator of default risk dynamics. Our results show how multiple liquidity factors including firm specific and aggregate liquidity proxies as well as an asymmetric information measure are critical determinants of CDS price variations. In particular, the impact of informed traders on the CDS price increases when markets are characterised by higher uncertainty, which supports concerns of insider trading during the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Filippo Coro & Alfonso Dufour & Simone Varotto, 2012. "The Time Varying Properties of Credit and Liquidity Components of CDS Spreads," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2012-06, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    • Handle: RePEc:rdg:icmadp:icma-dp2012-06
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    File URL: http://www.icmacentre.ac.uk/files/discussion-papers/DP_2012_06.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CDS; Liquidity; Credit Risk; Financial Crisis; Informed trading; Trade impact;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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