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Australian Financial Market Volatility: An Exploration of Cross-country and Cross-market Linkages

Author

Listed:
  • Tro Kortian

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

  • James O’Regan

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

Abstract

This paper examines the behaviour of daily asset price movements in Australian bond, share and foreign exchange markets over the period 1987 to 1996, and addresses four questions concerning volatility and international market linkages. First, is there evidence of a trend increase in volatility in Australian financial markets? Second, have Australia’s financial markets become more responsive to developments in counterpart foreign markets, and if so, what are the predominant foreign influences? Third, have international influences been more or less important than domestic cross-market influences? Fourth, is there evidence of directionality and other asymmetries in Australian financial market volatility? The paper finds no compelling evidence to suggest the presence of a trend increase in volatility over the period. Evidence does exist, however, of quite significant cross-country ‘contagion’ or ‘spillover’ effects on Australia’s bond and equity markets. For both of these markets, the predominant foreign market influence appears to be the US. Australian bond and share market volatility is found to be higher in bear markets than in bull markets, and higher following a market fall than a market rise. Evidence supporting the presence of asymmetries in the correlation of volatilities across markets is also documented.

Suggested Citation

  • Tro Kortian & James O’Regan, 1996. "Australian Financial Market Volatility: An Exploration of Cross-country and Cross-market Linkages," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9609, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbardp:rdp9609
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    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/pdf/rdp9609.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bertero, Elisabetta & Mayer, Colin, 1990. "Structure and performance: Global interdependence of stock markets around the crash of October 1987," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1155-1180, September.
    2. Roll, R., 1989. "Price Volatility, International Market Links, And Their Implications For Regulatory Policies," Papers t10, Columbia - Center for Futures Markets.
    3. Hamao, Yasushi & Masulis, Ronald W & Ng, Victor, 1990. "Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 281-307.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. David Gruen & John Romalis & Naveen Chandra, 1999. "The Lags of Monetary Policy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(3), pages 280-294, September.
    2. Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000. "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Frank Campbell & Eleanor Lewis, 1998. "What Moves Yields in Australia?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9808, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    4. Robert McCauley, 2006. "Internationalising a currency: the case of the Australian dollar," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    5. Luci Ellis & Eleanor Lewis, 2001. "The Response of Financial Markets in Australia and New Zealand to News about the Asian Crisis," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2001-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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