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External Reserves and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation

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Listed:
  • Akinboyo, Lawrence O.
  • Omotosho, Babatunde S.
  • Oladunni, Sunday
  • Owolabi, Olamide H.

Abstract

The paper examines the nexus between Nigeria’s foreign reserves and economic growth. Analysis of the data from 2000:Q1 - 2013:Q2, using the modified Wald statistic of Toda and Yamamoto (1995) confirms a unidirectional causality running from external reserves to economic growth. The Gregory and Hansen co-integration test also confirms the existence of a long run relationship between the variables, but with a structural break in 2009:Q4. We find that external reserves drive economic growth in Nigeria, both in the short and long term horizons. Results also show that a one per cent increase in external reserves leads to 0.15 per cent increase in economic growth. Since general macroeconomic stability has growth enhancing effects, the paper endorses the CBN routine interventions in the foreign exchange market aimed at ensuring stability of the exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Akinboyo, Lawrence O. & Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Oladunni, Sunday & Owolabi, Olamide H., 2016. "External Reserves and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 98309, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:98309
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange reserves; co-integration; structural break; economic growth; causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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