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Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018?
[Was it still "the economy, stupid!" in 2016 and 2018?]

Author

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  • Kurrild-Klitgaard, Peter

Abstract

US elections are often interpreted in an anecdotal and person focused manner by media and commentators, while social science research consistently has found that economic conditions play a very large role, while others play a small one. An analysis US presidential and midterm elections 1948-2018 demonstrate that the presidential election of 2016 and the midterm elections of 2018 generally fits well into a logic that voters hold the presidential party responsible for the economic development, while there also is a cost of ruling.

Suggested Citation

  • Kurrild-Klitgaard, Peter, 2019. "Var det fortsat ”the economy, stupid!” i 2016 og 2018?
    [Was it still "the economy, stupid!" in 2016 and 2018?]
    ," MPRA Paper 97297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:97297
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/97297/1/MPRA_paper_97297.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    US elections; economic voting; Donald Trump; US presidential election 2016; US midterm election 2018;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N42 - Economic History - - Government, War, Law, International Relations, and Regulation - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada

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