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Economic Growth and Tourism in Barbados: A Test of the Supply-side Hypothesis

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  • Jackman, Mahalia
  • Lorde, Troy

Abstract

The goal of this study is to examine the supply side hypothesis of tourism demand, that is, to answer the question: Does economic growth in Barbados spur tourism growth. Results suggest that there is a long-run relationship between real GDP in Barbados and tourist arrivals. Specifically, we find that a 1% expansion in real GDP is associated with a 1.2% increase in tourist arrivals. Further, our Granger causality test suggests that the supply-side hypothesis is valid for Barbados.

Suggested Citation

  • Jackman, Mahalia & Lorde, Troy, 2009. "Economic Growth and Tourism in Barbados: A Test of the Supply-side Hypothesis," MPRA Paper 95548, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:95548
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/95548/1/MPRA_paper_95548.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ige, Cyril Segun & Odularu, Gbadebo Olusegun, 2007. "Analysis of the Impact of Tourism on the West Africa Economy: A Panel Data Approach," MPRA Paper 25366, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Jan 2008.
    2. Jacint Balaguer & Manuel Cantavella-Jorda, 2002. "Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(7), pages 877-884.
    3. Çetinel, Fatmagül & Yolal, Medet, 2009. "Public Policy and Sustainable Tourism in Turkey," MPRA Paper 25418, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Aug 2009.
    4. Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A., 1995. "Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 447-475, September.
    5. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    6. Nanthakumar, Loganathan & Ibrahim, Yahaya & Harun, Madzli, 2007. "Tourism Development Policy, Strategic Alliances and Impact of Consumer Price Index on Tourist Arrivals: The Case of Malaysia," MPRA Paper 25376, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Nov 2007.
    7. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan S. & Risso, Wiston Adrián & Devesa, María Jesús Such & Aguirre, Sandra Zapata, 2008. "The Tourism-led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Colombia," MPRA Paper 25286, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Mar 2009.
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    9. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Troy Lorde & Tennyson S. D. Joseph, 2019. "Airbnb, technological change and disruption in Barbadian tourism: a theoretical framework," Third World Quarterly, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(12), pages 2190-2209, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    tourism; economic growth; Barbados;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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