IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/80195.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Size effect in transitional dynamics of the banking network

Author

Listed:
  • Garcia, Alfredo Daniel
  • Szybisz, Martin Andres

Abstract

We consider a developed economy banking system, that, when surpass certain size, may destabilize and even enter in chaos. Taking Deposits (D_t), Reserves (R_t), Loans (L_t), the ratio of (R_t) to (D_t) and a parameter γ that weights endogenously the system memory, we analyse stability and the possibility of chaos. Using data for the U.S. between 1960 and 2012 we found that a maximum instability state is verified in 2008 when the crisis hits the U.S. banking system core carrying to a public bailout. A larger system does not necessarily lead to robustness but can expand to greater fragility. A proposed banking system stability indicator is also analysed.

Suggested Citation

  • Garcia, Alfredo Daniel & Szybisz, Martin Andres, 2017. "Size effect in transitional dynamics of the banking network," MPRA Paper 80195, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:80195
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/80195/1/MPRA_paper_80195.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Douglas W. Diamond & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2005. "Liquidity Shortages and Banking Crises," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 615-647, April.
    2. Allen, Franklin & Santomero, Anthony M., 1997. "The theory of financial intermediation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(11-12), pages 1461-1485, December.
    3. Heijdra, Ben J., 2017. "Foundations of Modern Macroeconomics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 3, number 9780198784135.
    4. Boldrin, Michele & Woodford, Michael, 1990. "Equilibrium models displaying endogenous fluctuations and chaos : A survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 189-222, March.
    5. Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2012. "Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(2), pages 1029-1061, April.
    6. Bullard, James & Butler, Alison, 1993. "Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economic Models: Implications for Policy Decisions," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(419), pages 849-867, July.
    7. Beck, Thorsten & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Levine, Ross, 2006. "Bank concentration, competition, and crises: First results," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 1581-1603, May.
    8. Smets, Frank & Collard, Fabrice & Boissay, Frédéric, 2013. "Booms and systemic banking crises," Working Paper Series 1514, European Central Bank.
    9. Jess Benhabib & Richard H. Day, 1981. "Rational Choice and Erratic Behaviour," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 48(3), pages 459-471.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gomes, Orlando, 2008. "Too much of a good thing: Endogenous business cycles generated by bounded technological progress," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 933-945, September.
    2. Hartmann, Philipp & Hubrich, Kirstin & Kremer, Manfred & Tetlow, Robert J., 2013. "Melting down: Systemic financial instability and the macroeconomy," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80487, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos & Serletis, Demitre, 2015. "Nonlinear And Complex Dynamics In Economics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1749-1779, December.
    4. Orlando Gomes, 2006. "Routes to chaos in macroeconomic theory," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(6), pages 437-468, November.
    5. Orlando Gomes, 2007. "Routes to chaos in macroeconomic theory," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 33(6), pages 437-468, January.
    6. Orlando Gomes, 2006. "Routes to chaos in macroeconomic theory," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 33(6), pages 437-468, November.
    7. Lepers, Etienne & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2020. "Decomposing financial (in)stability in emerging economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Guérineau, Samuel & Léon, Florian, 2019. "Information sharing, credit booms and financial stability: Do developing economies differ from advanced countries?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 64-76.
    9. Zhang, Xun & He, Zongyue & Zhu, Jiali & Li, Jing, 2018. "Quantity of finance and financial crisis: A non-monotonic investigation☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 129-139.
    10. Bezemer, Dirk & Zhang, L, 2014. "From boom to bust in the credit cycle," Research Report 14025-GEM, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    11. Spiros Bougheas & David I Harvey & Alan Kirman & Douglas Nelson, 2024. "Systemic risk in banking, fire sales, and macroeconomic disasters," Discussion Papers 2024/02, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    12. Alexeeva, Tatyana A. & Barnett, William A. & Kuznetsov, Nikolay V. & Mokaev, Timur N., 2020. "Dynamics of the Shapovalov mid-size firm model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Mahir Binici & Aytül Ganioglu, 2021. "Net external position, financial development, and banking crisis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1225-1251, September.
    14. Caggiano, Giovanni & Calice, Pietro & Leonida, Leone & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Comparing logit-based early warning systems: Does the duration of systemic banking crises matter?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 104-116.
    15. Elena Carletti & Agnese Leonello, 2019. "Credit Market Competition and Liquidity Crises," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 23(5), pages 855-892.
    16. Luis A. Aguirre & Antonio Aguirre, 1997. "A tutorial introduction to nonlinear dynamics in economics," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 7(2), pages 9-47.
    17. Mais Sha'ban & Claudia Girardone & Anna Sarkisyan & Thankom Arun, 2023. "On the relationship between financial inclusion and bank performance," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 52(3), November.
    18. repec:dgr:rugsom:14016-gem is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Frédéric Boissay & Fabrice Collard & Frank Smets, 2016. "Booms and Banking Crises," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 124(2), pages 489-538.
    20. Liangliang Jiang & Ross Levine & Chen Lin, 2023. "Does Competition Affect Bank Risk?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(5), pages 1043-1076, August.
    21. Samuel GUÉRINEAU & Florian LÉON, 2016. "Information sharing, credit booms, and financial stability," Working Papers P159, FERDI.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Banking System; Financial Crises; Instability; Systemic Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:80195. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.