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An Empirical Note on the Inflation Impact of the Price of Imported Crude Oil: The Case of Germany

Listed author(s):
  • Cebula, Richard
  • Saadatmand, Yassaman
  • Piccone, Yvonne

This study empirically investigates whether the assumption of the monetary authority in pre-2000 Germany that rising prices of imported crude oil would lead to domestic inflation in Germany had validity. In a model where unemployment rate changes, money stock growth, and wage growth are all allowed for, OLS estimation reveals that although the inflation rate in Germany typically is not sensitive to increasing prices on imported crude oil, crude oil price "shocks" of 50 percent or more during any calendar year have in the past led to significant domestic inflation for the German economy.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 50887.

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Date of creation: 07 Jan 2002
Publication status: Published in Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Economiche e Commerciali 4.49(2002): pp. 531-537
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50887
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  1. Cebula , Richard J., 2000. "A Brief Empirical Note on the Impact of Crude Oil Prices on Domestic Inflation: The Case of the United States, 1965-1999," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 53(4), pages 449-454.
  2. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
  3. Cebula, Richard J & Frewer, Michael, 1980. "Oil Imports and Inflation: An Empirical International Analysis of the 'Imported' Inflation Thesis," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(4), pages 615-622.
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