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The Correlation Problem in Operational Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Frachot, Antoine
  • Roncalli, Thierry
  • Salomon, Eric

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that aggregate losses are necessarily low as long as we remain under the standard assumptions of LDA models. Moreover empirical findings show that the correlation between two aggregate losses is typically below 5%, which opens a wide scope for large diversification effects, much larger than those the Basel Committee seems to have in mind. In other words, summing up capital charges is in substantial contradiction with the type of correlation consistent with the standard LDA model.

Suggested Citation

  • Frachot, Antoine & Roncalli, Thierry & Salomon, Eric, 2004. "The Correlation Problem in Operational Risk," MPRA Paper 38052, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38052
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/38052/1/MPRA_paper_38052.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Badi H. Baltagi & Zhenlin Yang, 2013. "Standardized LM tests for spatial error dependence in linear or panel regressions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 103-134, February.
    2. Lung-Fei Lee, 2004. "Asymptotic Distributions of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Spatial Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(6), pages 1899-1925, November.
    3. Anselin, Luc & Bera, Anil K. & Florax, Raymond & Yoon, Mann J., 1996. "Simple diagnostic tests for spatial dependence," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 77-104, February.
    4. H. Kelejian, Harry & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2001. "On the asymptotic distribution of the Moran I test statistic with applications," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 219-257, September.
    5. Bera, Anil K. & Yoon, Mann J., 1993. "Specification Testing with Locally Misspecified Alternatives," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(04), pages 649-658, August.
    6. Lee, Lung-Fei, 2002. "Consistency And Efficiency Of Least Squares Estimation For Mixed Regressive, Spatial Autoregressive Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(02), pages 252-277, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriela ANGHELACHE & Ana-Cornelia OLTEANU (PUIU) & Alina-Nicoleta RADU, 2010. "Operational Risk Measurement," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 215-223.
    2. Albrecht, Peter & Schwake, Edmund & Winter, Peter, 2007. "Quantifizierung operationeller Risiken: Der Loss Distribution Approach," German Risk and Insurance Review (GRIR), University of Cologne, Department of Risk Management and Insurance, vol. 3(1), pages 1-45.
    3. Franco-Arbeláez, Luis Ceferino & Franco-Ceballos, Luis Eduardo & Murillo-Gómez, Juan Guillermo & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2015. "Riesgo operativo en el sector salud en Colombia
      [Operational Risk in the Health Sector in Colombia]
      ," MPRA Paper 63149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Hans Buhlmann & Pavel V. Shevchenko & Mario V. Wuthrich, 2009. "A "Toy" Model for Operational Risk Quantification using Credibility Theory," Papers 0904.1772, arXiv.org.
    5. Venegas-Martínez, Francisco & Franco-Arbeláez, Luis Ceferino & Franco-Ceballos, Luis Eduardo & Murillo-Gómez, Juan Guillermo, 2015. "Riesgo operativo en el sector salud en Colombia: 2013," eseconomía, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 0(43), pages 7-36, segundo s.
    6. Chapelle, Ariane & Crama, Yves & Hübner, Georges & Peters, Jean-Philippe, 2008. "Practical methods for measuring and managing operational risk in the financial sector: A clinical study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1049-1061, June.
    7. Lu, Zhaoyang, 2011. "Modeling the yearly Value-at-Risk for operational risk in Chinese commercial banks," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 82(4), pages 604-616.
    8. repec:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:3:p:77-87 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Chavez-Demoulin, V. & Embrechts, P. & Neslehova, J., 2006. "Quantitative models for operational risk: Extremes, dependence and aggregation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(10), pages 2635-2658, October.
    10. Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2009. "Implementing Loss Distribution Approach for Operational Risk," Papers 0904.1805, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2009.
    11. Brechmann, Eike & Czado, Claudia & Paterlini, Sandra, 2014. "Flexible dependence modeling of operational risk losses and its impact on total capital requirements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 271-285.
    12. Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko & Mario V. Wuthrich, 2009. "Dynamic operational risk: modeling dependence and combining different sources of information," Papers 0904.4074, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2009.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    operational risk; LDA model; severity correlation; frequency correlation; aggregate loss correlation;

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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