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La tasa de cambio real como meta de política: teoría y evidencia
[Targeting the real exchange rate: Theory and evidence]

Author

Listed:
  • Reinhart, Carmen
  • Calvo, Guillermo
  • Vegh, Carlos

Abstract

Este trabajo presenta un análisis teórico y empirico de las politicas dirigidas a alcanzar un nivel más depreciado de la tasa de carnbio real. Un modelo de optimización intertemporal sugiere que, en ausencia de cambios en la politica fiscal, un nivel más depreciado de la tasa de carnbio real só1o puede mantenerse de manera temporal. Esto puede lograrse a través de un mayor nivel de la inflación y/o tasa real de interks, dependiendo del grado de movilidad del capital. La evidencia de Brasil, Chile y Colombia sustenta la predicción del modelo según la cual tasas de cambio subvaluadas estan asociadas con una mayor inflación.

Suggested Citation

  • Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Vegh, Carlos, 1994. "La tasa de cambio real como meta de política: teoría y evidencia [Targeting the real exchange rate: Theory and evidence]," MPRA Paper 13468, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13468
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Esteban Posada, 1995. "El Costo de la Inflación(con Racionalidad y Previsión Perfectas)," Borradores de Economia 030, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Juan Carlos Echeverry G., 1996. "Short Run Savings Fluctuations And Export Shocks.Theory And Evidence For Latin-America," Borradores de Economia 3498, Banco de la Republica.
    3. Carlos Esteban Posada, 1995. "EL COSTO DE INFLACIÓN (Con Racionalidad y Previsión Perfectas)," Borradores de Economia 2477, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Juan Carlos Echeverry, 1996. "The Fall in Colombian Savings During the 1990s. Theory and Evidence," Borradores de Economia 061, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Álvaro Moreno, 2002. "Determinantes del tipo de cambio real en Colombia. Un modelo neokeynesiano," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 4(7), pages 40-61, July-Dece.
    6. Carlos Esteban Posada P., 1995. "Ahorro Y Modelos Macroeconómicos," Borradores de Economia 1956, Banco de la Republica.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tipo de cambio politica monetaria tasas de interes;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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