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Panel data analysis of “Export-led” Growth Hypothesis in BIMP-EAGA Countries

  • pazim, Khairul Hanim

This paper uses panel data analysis to test the validity of the “export-led hypothesis” in three BIMP-EAGA countries (i.e. Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines) by using panel data analysis. One-way random effects model leads to a conclusion that, there is no significant relationship between the size of national income and the amount of export for these countries. On the other hand, panel unit root tests imply that there is strong evidence of stationary process for both GDP and EX at the first differences. However, the panel co-integration test indicates there is no co-integrating relationship between export and development for these countries. As a conclusion, the export could be not seen as the “engine” of growth in these BIMP-EAGA. In other word, the empirical findings did not provide sufficient evident to support the “export-led hypothesis” in the area.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13264/1/MPRA_paper_13264.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 13264.

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Date of creation: 09 Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13264
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  1. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2007. "Do exports act as “engine” of growth? Evidence from Malaysia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(38), pages 1-14.
  2. Hausmann, Ricardo & Rodrik, Dani, 2002. "Economic Development as Self-Discovery," Working Paper Series rwp02-023, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  3. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2007:i:38:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Pasaran, M.H. & Im, K.S. & Shin, Y., 1995. "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9526, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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