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Bank non-performing loans research around the world

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  • Ozili, Peterson K

Abstract

This article presents a literature review of the post-2020 bank non-performing loans (NPLs) research around the world and suggests directions for future research. Using the thematic and bibliometric literature review methodologies, we find that significant NPL research has emerged from the European, Asian, and African regions while fewer research has emerged from the Asia-Pacific, North America, Latin America and Caribbean regions as well as from SAARC and OECD countries. The new NPL determinants in the recent literature are corporate governance, fintech, financial inclusion, country risks, regulatory quality, political risks, shadow banking activity, the COVID-19 pandemic, public/external debt, country risks, real house prices, and the independence of the central bank. The common regional NPL determinants are corruption, GDP, debt, loan growth, inflation, capital adequacy ratio, lending rate, competition, the regulatory environment, and GDP growth. The common theories used in the recent literature to explain the behavior of NPL are agency theory, stakeholder theory, information asymmetry theory, and moral hazard theory while the common empirical methodologies used are the panel regression and system GMM regression methods. The implication is that financial regulators, bank supervisors and banking scholars should pay attention to the new emerging determinants of NPL. They should also understand the effect of NPL on financial/banking stability so that safeguards can be put in place to minimise the adverse effect of non-performing loans. More research is needed to provide insights into this area.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozili, Peterson K, 2025. "Bank non-performing loans research around the world," MPRA Paper 125217, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:125217
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Khalil Alnabulsi & Emira Kozarević & Abdelaziz Hakimi, 2023. "Non-Performing Loans as a Driver of Banking Distress: A Systematic Literature Review," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-20, April.
    2. Sonia Chawla & Seema Rani, 2021. "What determines non-performing loans? A systematic literature survey and directions for prospective research," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 25(2), pages 154-176.
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    5. Li Chen & David Emanuel & Lina Z. Li & Mu Yang, 2021. "Regulatory changes and loan loss provisions management by Chinese banks," Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(4), pages 651-675, April.
    6. Saom Shawleen Anita & Nishat Tasnova & Nousheen Nawar, 2022. "Are non-performing loans sensitive to macroeconomic determinants? an empirical evidence from banking sector of SAARC countries," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, December.
    7. Ari, Anil & Chen, Sophia & Ratnovski, Lev, 2021. "The dynamics of non-performing loans during banking crises: A new database with post-COVID-19 implications," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ozili, Peterson K, 2025. "Financial stability determinants in Nigeria: role of profitability, capital regulation, financial inclusion, inflation, unemployment and economic growth," MPRA Paper 125792, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

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