IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/104651.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Stock Returns, Productivity, and Corruption in Eight European Fast-Emerging Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo
  • Sergi, Bruno
  • Sironi, Emiliano

Abstract

This article addresses the impact of productivity, corruption, and trade openness on the stock returns of 265 industrial companies listed in eight Eastern European fast-emerging markets, over the 2004–2013 period. Through a three-factor model that includes both measures at firm level and macro-level control variables, our findings suggest that country corruption index is negatively correlated with the total annual return of the stocks of the listed industrial companies of our sample. Moreover, the most productive firms are featured by higher stock returns, while leverage seems not to be a key predictor of stock returns. In addition, the article uncovers innovative evidence about trade openness that is negatively correlated with stock returns due to its connection with the recent financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Sergi, Bruno & Sironi, Emiliano, 2015. "Stock Returns, Productivity, and Corruption in Eight European Fast-Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 104651, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:104651
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/104651/1/MPRA_paper_104651.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Romelli, Davide & Sironi, Emiliano, 2011. "The impact of governance and productivity on stock returns in European industrial companies," MPRA Paper 104654, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    2. Dellas, Harris & Hess, Martin, 2005. "Financial development and stock returns: A cross-country analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 891-912, October.
    3. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    4. Ruogu Li, 2015. "Global Financial Crisis' Impact on the International Monetary System," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Reform of the International Monetary System and Internationalization of the Renminbi, chapter 9, pages 117-128, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Rim M. El Khoury, 2015. "Do macroeconomic factors matter for stock returns? Evidence from the European automotive industry," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(1), pages 71-84.
    6. Qerim Qerimi & Bruno S. Sergi, 2015. "Development and social development in the global context," International Journal of Business and Globalisation, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 14(4), pages 383-407.
    7. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    8. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    9. Janet L. Yellen, 2013. "Interconnectedness and Systemic Risk: Lessons from the Financial Crisis and Policy Implications : a speech at the American Economic Association/American Finance Association Joint Luncheon, San Diego, ," Speech 631, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    10. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. "Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-155, March.
    11. Ruogu Li, 2015. "Causes, Development, and Impact of the Global Financial Crisis," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Reform of the International Monetary System and Internationalization of the Renminbi, chapter 8, pages 87-116, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    13. Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1988. "Corporate governance : Voting rights and majority rules," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1-2), pages 203-235, January.
    14. Duffee, Gregory R., 1995. "Stock returns and volatility A firm-level analysis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 399-420, March.
    15. Stephen H. Penman & Scott A. Richardson & İrem Tuna, 2007. "The Book‐to‐Price Effect in Stock Returns: Accounting for Leverage," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(2), pages 427-467, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Pellegrini, Laura & Sergi, Bruno, 2018. "Governance and banking system morphology in China: the evolution over the last two decades (1995-2015)," MPRA Paper 98571, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2018.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Romelli, Davide & Sironi, Emiliano, 2011. "The impact of governance and productivity on stock returns in European industrial companies," MPRA Paper 104654, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    2. Kim, Dongcheol & Kim, Tong Suk & Min, Byoung-Kyu, 2011. "Future labor income growth and the cross-section of equity returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 67-81, January.
    3. George, Thomas J. & Hwang, Chuan-Yang, 2010. "A resolution of the distress risk and leverage puzzles in the cross section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 56-79, April.
    4. Richardson, Scott & Tuna, Irem & Wysocki, Peter, 2010. "Accounting anomalies and fundamental analysis: A review of recent research advances," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 410-454, December.
    5. Dar-Hsin Chen & Chun-Da Chen & Su-Chen Wu, 2014. "VaR and the cross-section of expected stock returns: an emerging market evidence," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 441-459, June.
    6. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    7. Andreou, Christoforos K. & Lambertides, Neophytos & Panayides, Photis M., 2021. "Distress risk anomaly and misvaluation," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(5).
    8. Amir Amel†Zadeh, 2011. "The Return of the Size Anomaly: Evidence from the German Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(1), pages 145-182, January.
    9. Vassalou, Maria, 2003. "News related to future GDP growth as a risk factor in equity returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 47-73, April.
    10. Carmichael, Benoît & Coën, Alain, 2008. "Asset pricing models with errors-in-variables," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 778-788, September.
    11. Aynur Pala, 2014. "The Effect of Valuation Ratios, Gold Price, and Petroleum Price on Equity Returns: A Comparison of Static Panel and Quantile Regressions," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(1), pages 80-89, January.
    12. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2017. "Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    13. Douglas W. Blackburn & Nusret Cakici, 2020. "Tangible and intangible information in emerging markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1509-1527, May.
    14. Fernando Rubio, 2005. "Estrategias Cuantitativas De Valor Y Retornos Por Accion De Largo," Finance 0503029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Thomas W. Downs & Robert W. Ingram, 2000. "Beta, Size, Risk, And Return," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 23(3), pages 245-260, September.
    16. Kian-Guan Lim & Michelle Lim, 2020. "Financial performance of shipping firms that increase LNG carriers and the support of eco-innovation," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    17. Walkshäusl, Christian, 2015. "Equity financing activities and European value-growth returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 27-40.
    18. Javid, Attiya Yasmin & Ahmad, Eatzaz, 2008. "Testing multifactor capital asset pricing model in case of Pakistani market," MPRA Paper 37341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Ferson, Wayne E. & Sarkissian, Sergei & Simin, Timothy, 1999. "The alpha factor asset pricing model: A parable," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 49-68, February.
    20. Anton Astakhov & Tomas Havranek & Jiri Novak, 2019. "Firm Size And Stock Returns: A Quantitative Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(5), pages 1463-1492, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    productivity; stock returns; corruption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:104651. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.