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How do Institutions Affect Structural Unemployment in Times of Crises?

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  • Davide Furceri

    (OECD)

  • Annabelle Mourougane

    (OECD)

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of economic crises on structural unemployment using an Autoregressive Distributed Lags model and accounting for the role of institutional settings. Analysing an unbalanced panel of 30 OECD economies from 1970 to 2008, we found that downturns have, on average, a significant positive impact on the level of structural unemployment rate. The maximum impact varies with the severity of the downturn. Institutions (such as Employment Protection Legislation, average replacement ratio and product market regulation) influence both the extent of the initial shock and the adjustment pattern in the aftermath of a downturn. Comment les institutions influencent-elles le chômage structurel en temps de crise ? Ce document examine l’effet des crises économiques sur le chômage structurel en utilisant un modèle Autorégressif à Retards Distribués et en prenant en compte l’effet des institutions. A partir d’un panel non cylindré de 30 économies de l’OCDE de 1970 à 2008, les crises économiques sont estimées avoir, en moyenne, un effet significatif et positif sur le niveau du taux de chômage structurel. L’effet maximal varie avec la sévérité de la crise. Les institutions (législation sur la protection de l’emploi, ratio de remplacement moyen et régulation sur les marchés des produits) influencent à la fois l’amplitude du choc initial et l’ajustement suivant le choc.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Furceri & Annabelle Mourougane, 2009. "How do Institutions Affect Structural Unemployment in Times of Crises?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 730, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:730-en
    DOI: 10.1787/220734255421
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    Cited by:

    1. Gamberoni, Elisa & Von Uexkull, Erik & Weber, Sebastian, 2010. "The Roles of Openness and Labor Market Institutions for Employment Dynamics during Economic Crises," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 29, pages 1-5, August.
    2. Teimouri, Sheida & Dutta, Nabamita, 2016. "Investment and bank credit recovery after banking crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 306-327.
    3. Romain Bouis & Ane Kathrine Christensen & Boris Cournède, 2013. "Deleveraging: Challenges, Progress and Policies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1077, OECD Publishing.
    4. Watson, Philip & Deller, Steven, 2017. "Economic diversity, unemployment and the Great Recession," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-11.
    5. Gina Cristina Dimian & Liviu Stelian Begu & Josef Jablonsky, 2017. "Unemployment and labour market mismatch in the European Union Countries," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(1), pages 13-44.
    6. Davide Furceri & Annabelle Mourougane, 2010. "Une lecture de la crise à la lumière des crises passées," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 438(1), pages 19-42.
    7. Horst Feldmann, 2012. "Product Market Regulation and Labor Market Performance around the World," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 26(3), pages 369-391, September.
    8. Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E. & Furceri, Davide & Guillaume, Dominique, 2013. "Banking crises, labor reforms, and unemployment," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1202-1219.
    9. Jan Bruha & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova, 2017. "An Empirical Analysis of Macroeconomic Resilience: The Case of the Great Recession in the European Union," Working Papers 2017/10, Czech National Bank.
    10. Dieppe,Alistair Matthew & Kilic Celik,Sinem & Okou,Cedric Iltis Finafa, 2020. "Implications of Major Adverse Events on Productivity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9411, The World Bank.
    11. Michal Tvrdoň, 2015. "Decomposition of Unemployment: The Case of the Visegrad group countries," Working Papers 0005, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    12. Davide Furceri & Mr. Lorenzo E. Bernal-Verdugo & Mr. Dominique M. Guillaume, 2012. "Crises, Labor Market Policy, and Unemployment," IMF Working Papers 2012/065, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Romain Bouis & Romain Duval, 2011. "Raising Potential Growth After the Crisis: A Quantitative Assessment of the Potential Gains from Various Structural Reforms in the OECD Area and Beyond," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 835, OECD Publishing.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    chômage structurel; crise; crisis; employment protection legislation; institutions; institutions; législation sur la protection de l'emploi; structural unemployment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General

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