IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ocp/rpaper/rp-0822.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo Amaral Haddad
  • Inácio F. Araújo
  • Ademir Rocha
  • Karina Sass

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and multisectoral linkages, this paper offers a systematic, integrated account of the structural linkages that allows modeling spillovers from one Ukrainian region to another. This approach breaks new ground by highlighting the internal economic effects of the conflict in Ukraine. We develop an interregional input-output system for Ukraine, providing the numerical basis for developing analytical frameworks to support knowledge building in the recovery process of distressed territories during the post-war period. We offer this database to the international scientific community to support modeling projects focusing on structural features of the Ukrainian economy. As shown in our illustrative exercises, understanding the structure of intersectoral and interregional linkages is critical to understanding better the propagation of exogenous shocks in the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Inácio F. Araújo & Ademir Rocha & Karina Sass, 2022. "Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict," Research papers & Policy papers 1953, Policy Center for the New South.
    • Handle: RePEc:ocp:rpaper:rp-0822
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/2022-08/RP_08-22-%20Eduardo%20Haddad_0.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eduardo A. Haddad & Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub & Vinicius A. Vale, 2020. "Water content in trade: a regional analysis for Morocco," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 565-584, October.
    2. Eduardo A. Haddad & Nadim Farajalla & Marina Camargo & Ricardo L. Lopes & Flavio V. Vieira, 2014. "Climate change in Lebanon: Higher-order regional impacts from agriculture," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 1, pages 9-24.
    3. Afaf Zarkik, 2022. "Guerre en Ukraine et sanctions contre la Russie : quel avenir pour le pétrole ?," Policy notes & Policy briefs 1984, Policy Center for the New South.
    4. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Michael L. Lahr & Dina N. Elshahawany & Moisés Vassallo, 2016. "Regional analysis of domestic integration in Egypt: an interregional CGE approach," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 5(1), pages 1-33, December.
    5. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Cotarelli & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Vinicius Almeida Vale & Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, 2020. "The Grand Tour: Keynes and Goodwin go to Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Dario Caldara & Sarah Conlisk & Matteo Iacoviello & Maddie Penn, 2022. "The Effect of the War in Ukraine on Global Activity and Inflation," FEDS Notes 2022-05-27-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Haddad, Eduardo Amaral & Gonçalves Júnior, Carlos Alberto & Nascimento, Thiago Oliveira, 2017. "Matriz Interestadual de Insumo-Produto para o Brasil: Uma Aplicação do Método IIOAS," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), vol. 11(4), pages 424-446.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eduardo A. Haddad & Inácio F. Araújo & Ademir Rocha & Karina Simone Sass, 2023. "Input–output analysis of the Ukraine war: A tool for assessing the internal territorial impacts of the conflict," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 8-55, February.
    2. Araujo, Inacio F. & Haddad, Eduardo A. & León, José Antonio, 2023. "Interregional Input-Output Table for Costa Rica: Database Description and Construction Steps Based on the IIOA Method," TD NEREUS 12-2023, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    3. Javier Felipe-Andreu & Antonio Valero & Alicia Valero, 2022. "Territorial Inequalities, Ecological and Material Footprints of the Energy Transition: Case Study of the Cantabrian-Mediterranean Bioregion," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-22, October.
    4. Eduardo A. HADDAD & Fernando S. PEROBELLI & Inácio F. ARAÚJO & Tomás P. DENTINHO, 2020. "Uneven Integration: The Case of Angola," Research papers & Policy papers 1910, Policy Center for the New South.
    5. Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda, 2023. "Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    6. Eduardo A. Haddad & Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Thiago C. Simonato, Vinicius A. Vale & Jaqueline C. Vicentin, 2018. "Estimation of NUTS2 Interregional Input-Output Systems for Greece, 2010 and 2013," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_07, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    7. Eduardo A. Haddad & Jesús P. Mena-Chalco, Otavio J. G. Sidone, 2015. "Scholarly Collaboration in Regional Science in Developing Countries: The Case of the Brazilian REAL Network," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2015_12, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    8. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Ilham Najib, 2024. "The Automotive Sector in Morocco: An Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis," Research papers & Policy papers 1973, Policy Center for the New South.
    9. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Cotarelli & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Vinicius Almeida Vale & Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, 2020. "The Grand Tour: Keynes and Goodwin go to Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    10. Fragaszy, S. & Fraj, M. B. & McKee, M. & Jobbins, G. & Fayad, A. & Fakih, M. & Lawrenson, L. & McDonnell, Rachael, 2022. "MENAdrought synthesis of drought vulnerability in Lebanon: final report. Project report prepared by the International Water Management Institute (IWMI) for the Bureau for the Middle East of the United," IWMI Reports 329161, International Water Management Institute.
    11. André, Marine C. & Armijo, Alberto & Espidio, Sebastián Medina & Sandoval, Jamel, 2023. "Policy mix in a small open emerging economy with commodity prices," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(1).
    12. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Augusto Mussi Alvim & Miguel Atienza & Adelar Fochezatto, 2021. "The subnational supply chain and the COVID‐19 pandemic: Short‐term impacts on the Brazilian regional economy," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(S1), pages 158-186, November.
    13. Eduardo A. Haddad & Renato S. Vieira & Inácio F. Araújo & Silvio M. Ichihara & Fernando S. Perobelli & Karina S. S. Bugarin, 2022. "COVID-19 crisis monitor: assessing the effectiveness of exit strategies in the State of São Paulo, Brazil," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 68(2), pages 501-525, April.
    14. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Mahmoud Arbouch & Ademir A. Rocha & Vinicius A. Vale, 2022. "Valuing the Economic Cost of Remoteness: A Case Study of the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway in Morocco," Research papers & Policy papers 1957, Policy Center for the New South.
    15. El Mehdi Ouafiq & Rachid Saadane & Abdellah Chehri, 2022. "Data Management and Integration of Low Power Consumption Embedded Devices IoT for Transforming Smart Agriculture into Actionable Knowledge," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, February.
    16. Eduardo A. Haddad & Jesús P. Mena-Chalco & Otávio J. G. Sidone, 2017. "Scholarly Collaboration in Regional Science in Developing Countries," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 40(5), pages 500-529, September.
    17. Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel & Nazareth, Marcos Spínola & da Cunha, Dênis Antônio, 2021. "Environmental Effects of the Implementation of the ABC Plan in Matopiba: An Approach by Input-Output," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 314998, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Francisco de Borja García-García, 2023. "Rural-Urban Linkages: Regional Financial Business Services’ Integration into Chilean Agri-Food Value Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    19. Giorgiana Roxana Ene, 2023. "A Snapshot of Where We Are. A Gross Domestic Product Analysis Related to Household Energy Price Index in the European Union," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 360-367, August.
    20. Grebe, Moritz & Kandemir, Sinem & Tillmann, Peter, 2023. "Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German business cycle," IMFS Working Paper Series 184, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ocp:rpaper:rp-0822. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Policy Center for the New South's Customer service (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ocppcma.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.