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A Portfolio Approach to Global Imbalances

Author

Listed:
  • Zhengyang Jiang
  • Robert J. Richmond
  • Tony Zhang

Abstract

We use a portfolio-based framework to understand what drives the decline of the U.S. net foreign asset (NFA) position and the reversal in returns earned on the US NFA (exorbitant privilege). We show that global savings gluts and monetary policies widened the U.S. NFA position, while investor demand shifts partially offset this widening. Moreover, U.S. privilege declined after 2010, in accordance with increasing foreign demand for U.S. equity. We also highlight a quantity dimension of the U.S. privilege: the U.S. can issue substantially more debt than other countries for a given yield increase.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhengyang Jiang & Robert J. Richmond & Tony Zhang, 2022. "A Portfolio Approach to Global Imbalances," NBER Working Papers 30253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30253
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    Cited by:

    1. Lewis, Karen K. & Fang, Xiang & Hardy, Bryan, 2022. "Who Holds Sovereign Debt and Why It Matters," CEPR Discussion Papers 17338, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Damien Capelle & Bruno Pellegrino, 2023. "Unbalanced Financial Globalization," CESifo Working Paper Series 10642, CESifo.
    3. Benny Kleinman & Ernest Liu & Stephen J. Redding & Motohiro Yogo, 2023. "Neoclassical growth in an interdependent world," CEP Discussion Papers dp1965, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    4. Maggiori, Matteo, 2021. "International Macroeconomics With Imperfect Financial Markets," SocArXiv z8g6r, Center for Open Science.
    5. Beck, Roland & Coppola, Antonio & Lewis, Angus & Maggiori, Matteo & Schmitz, Martin & Schreger, Jesse, 2023. "The Geography of Capital Allocation in the Euro Area," SocArXiv rzwd2, Center for Open Science.
    6. Florez-Orrego, Sergio & Maggiori, Matteo & Schreger, Jesse & Sun, Ziwen & Tinda, Serdil, 2023. "Global Capital Allocation," SocArXiv 5s6n3, Center for Open Science.
    7. Montes Rojas Gabriel & Carrera Jorge & Panigo Demián & Solla Mariquena & Toledo Fernando, 2023. "Income Inequality and External Wealth of Nations," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4675, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    8. Jiang, Zhengyang & Richmond, Robert J., 2023. "Origins of international factor structures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 1-26.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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