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Bounding the Labor Supply Responses to a Randomized Welfare Experiment: A Revealed Preference Approach

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  • Patrick Kline
  • Melissa Tartari

Abstract

We study the short-term impact of Connecticut's Jobs First welfare reform experiment on women's labor supply and welfare participation decisions. A non-parametric optimizing model is shown to restrict the set of counterfactual choices compatible with each woman's actual choice. These revealed preference restrictions yield informative bounds on the frequency of several intensive and extensive margin responses to the experiment. We find that welfare reform induced many women to work but led some others to reduce their earnings in order to receive assistance. The bounds on this latter "opt-in" effect imply that intensive margin labor supply responses are non-trivial.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Kline & Melissa Tartari, 2015. "Bounding the Labor Supply Responses to a Randomized Welfare Experiment: A Revealed Preference Approach," NBER Working Papers 20838, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20838
    Note: EFG LS PE TWP
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Garry F. Barrett & Stephen G. Donald, 2003. "Consistent Tests for Stochastic Dominance," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 71-104, January.
    2. Donald W. K. Andrews & Panle Jia Barwick, 2012. "Inference for Parameters Defined by Moment Inequalities: A Recommended Moment Selection Procedure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(6), pages 2805-2826, November.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply

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