IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbp/nbpmis/365.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland What do we know in 2023?

Author

Listed:
  • Michał Greszta

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Marcin Humanicki

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Mariusz Kapuściński

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Tomasz Kleszcz

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Andrzej Kocięcki

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Jacek Kotłowski

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Michał Ledóchowski

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Michał Łesyk

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Tomasz Łyziak

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Mateusz Pipień

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Piotr Popowski

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Ewa Stanisławska

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Karol Szafranek

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Grzegorz Szafrański

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Dorota Ścibisz

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Grzegorz Wesołowski

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

  • Ewa Wróbel

    (Narodowy Bank Polski)

Abstract

This report presents the current body of knowledge on the monetary transmission mechanism in Poland. The presented findings confirm the impact of short-term interest rates on a range of macroeconomic variables, indicating in particular that following a monetary policy tightening there is – ceteris paribus – an appreciation of the domestic currency, and, with a lag, a decrease in the volume of credit, economic activity, and inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Michał Greszta & Marcin Humanicki & Mariusz Kapuściński & Tomasz Kleszcz & Andrzej Kocięcki & Jacek Kotłowski & Michał Ledóchowski & Michał Łesyk & Tomasz Łyziak & Mateusz Pipień & Piotr Popowski & Ew, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland What do we know in 2023?," NBP Working Papers 365, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:365
    Note: The report presents the opinions of its authors and should not be interpreted as the view of Narodowy Bank Polski. The authors are grateful to Piotr Szpunar for his valuable comments to the report.
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://static.nbp.pl/publikacje/materialy-i-studia/365_en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Cerisola & Gaston Gelos, 2009. "What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? An empirical analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(10), pages 1215-1227.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. de Mello Luiz & Moccero Diego & Mogliani Matteo, 2013. "Do Latin American Central Bankers Behave Non-Linearly? The Experiences of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 141-165, April.
    2. Fernando Borraz & Diego Gianelli, 2010. "Un análisis de comportamiento a nivel de agente de la encuesta de expectativas de inflación del BCU," Documentos de trabajo 2010001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    3. Roman Horváth & Jakub Matějů, 2011. "How Are Inflation Targets Set?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 265-300, June.
    4. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Hakan Kara & Defne Mutluer, 2008. "Expectations, Communication and Monetary Policy in Turkey," Working Papers 0801, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    5. Snezana Eminidou & Marios Zachariadis & Elena Andreou, 2020. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Surprises," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(1), pages 306-339, January.
    6. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Exchange rate pass-through & management of inflation expectations in a small open inflation targeting economy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 178-188.
    7. Ashima Goyal & Prashant Parab, 2019. "Modeling heterogeneity and rationality of inflation expectations across Indian households," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-02, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    8. Ashima Goyal & Prashant Parab, 2021. "Qualitative and quantitative Central Bank communications and professional forecasts: Evidence from India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-014, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    9. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "Inflation targeting & implications of oil shocks for inflation expectations in oil-importing and exporting economies: Evidence from three Nordic Kingdoms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Joanna Mackiewicz­‑Łyziak, 2014. "Wpływ długu publicznego na oczekiwania inflacyjne konsumentów w Europie," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5, pages 113-132.
    11. Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Mwankemwa, Lusajo P. & Ndanshau, Michael O.A., 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Fiscal Deficit on Monetary Policy Transmission in Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(4), September.
    13. Marques, André M. & Carvalho, André R., 2022. "Testing the neo-fisherian hypothesis in Brazil," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 407-419.
    14. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Chizuru Kato, 2011. "Assessing the performance of inflation targeting in East Asian economies," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 25(1), pages 93-102, May.
    15. Tomasz Lyziak, 2016. "Financial crisis, low inflation environment and short-term inflation expectations in Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(3), pages 285-300.
    16. Boukraine, Wissem, 2020. "Short and long-run determinants of inflation in Tunisia," MPRA Paper 102014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Afonso S Bevilaqua & Mário Mesquita & André Minella, 2008. "Brazil: taming inflation expectations," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 139-158, Bank for International Settlements.
    18. Areosa, Waldyr Dutra & McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2011. "Moment-based estimation of smooth transition regression models with endogenous variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(1), pages 100-111.
    19. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca Nicolay, 2015. "Central bank’s perception on inflation and inflation expectations of experts," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(6), pages 1142-1158, November.
    20. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Tracking U.S. inflation expectations with domestic and global indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1340-1356, November.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:365. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jakub Growiec (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nbpgvpl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.