IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/mcd/mcddps/2026_08.html

Waiting after the lower trigger: A Cournot Bertrand real option note

Author

Listed:
  • Elias Asproudis

    (Swansea University, School of Social Sciences, Department of Economics, UK)

  • Eleftherios Filippiadis

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, Greece)

Abstract

We study a perpetual entry problem in which an entrant chooses both when to enter and whether to enter through price or quantity competition against an incumbent that has already committed to quantity. The two entry modes are mutually exclusive and differ in sunk cost and discounted operating-profit coefficient. We focus on the case in which price entry is cheaper, while quantity entry is more profitable. Although price entry may then have the lower stand-alone trigger, crossing that trigger need not justify immediate entry. We provide a sufficient condition under which there exists a nonempty interval above the lower stand-alone trigger on which immediate entry in either mode is suboptimal. The entrant waits because delay preserves the option of entering later through the more profitable quantity mode. Thus, in a Cournot Bertrand environment with uncertainty and irreversibility, the choice of strategic variable is part of the real-options timing problem itself.

Suggested Citation

  • Elias Asproudis & Eleftherios Filippiadis, 2026. "Waiting after the lower trigger: A Cournot Bertrand real option note," Discussion Paper Series 2026_08, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Aug 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2026_08
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://econwp.uom.gr/pdf/dp082026.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474, December.
    2. Tremblay, Carol Horton & Tremblay, Victor J., 2011. "The Cournot-Bertrand model and the degree of product differentiation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(3), pages 233-235, June.
    3. Jean-Paul Décamps & Thomas Mariotti & Stéphane Villeneuve, 2006. "Irreversible investment in alternative projects," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 28(2), pages 425-448, June.
    4. Victor J. Tremblay & Carol Horton Tremblay & Kosin Isariyawongse, 2013. "Endogenous Timing And Strategic Choice: The Cournot-Bertrand Model," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(4), pages 332-342, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ben Abdallah, Skander & Lasserre, Pierre, 2016. "Asset retirement with infinitely repeated alternative replacements: Harvest age and species choice in forestry," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
    2. Arve, Malin & Zwart, Gijsbert, 2023. "Optimal procurement and investment in new technologies under uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Adkins, Roger & Paxson, Dean, 2019. "Rescaling-contraction with a lower cost technology when revenue declines," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(2), pages 574-586.
    4. Julia Müller & Thorsten Upmann, 2026. "Returns to Scale and Strategic Regimes in Innovation Races," CESifo Working Paper Series 12552, CESifo.
    5. Xu, Lili & Lee, Sang-Ho, 2024. "Endogenous competition with an integrated public utility firm under an output subsidy policy," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Th'eo Durandard & Matteo Camboni, 2024. "Comparative Statics for Optimal Stopping Problems in Nonstationary Environments," Papers 2402.06999, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    7. Alcino Azevedo & Dean Paxson, 2018. "Rivalry and uncertainty in complementary investments with dynamic market sharing," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 271(2), pages 319-355, December.
    8. Kort, Peter M. & Murto, Pauli & Pawlina, Grzegorz, 2010. "Uncertainty and stepwise investment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 196-203, April.
    9. Nicolo' Tamberi, 2020. "Export-platform FDI and Brexit Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 0320, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    10. Jean-Paul Décamps & Fabien Gensbittel & Thomas Mariotti, 2025. "Investment Timing and Technological Breakthroughs," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 50(2), pages 1478-1513, May.
    11. Fleten, S.-E. & Maribu, K.M. & Wangensteen, I., 2007. "Optimal investment strategies in decentralized renewable power generation under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 803-815.
    12. Brueckner, Jan K. & Picard, Pierre M., 2015. "Where and when to invest in infrastructure," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 123-134.
    13. Igor V. Kravchenko & Cláudia Nunes & Carlos Oliveira, 2023. "Investment in two alternative projects with multiple switches and the exit option," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 17, number 1, June.
    14. Joaquín Andaluz & Gloria Jarne, 2016. "Stability of vertically differentiated Cournot and Bertrand-type models when firms are boundedly rational," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 238(1), pages 1-25, March.
    15. Sendstad, Lars Hegnes & Chronopoulos, Michail, 2017. "Strategic Technology Switching under Risk Aversion and Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 2017/10, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    16. Fujisawa, Chieko, 2024. "Corporate strategies to exploit the social status created by advertising: quantity vs. price competition," 24th ITS Biennial Conference, Seoul 2024. New bottles for new wine: digital transformation demands new policies and strategies 302462, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    17. Qing Hu & Dan Li & Tomomichi Mizuno, 2024. "Endogenous choice of price or quantity contract with upstream advertising," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 34-51, February.
    18. Detemple, Jérôme & Kitapbayev, Yerkin & Reppen, A. Max, 2024. "Renewable energy investment under stochastic interest rate with regime-switching volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    19. John Gilbert & Onur A. Koska & Reza Oladi, 2022. "International trade, differentiated goods, and strategic asymmetry," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(3), pages 1178-1198, January.
    20. Sendstad, Lars Hegnes & Chronopoulos, Michail, 2021. "Strategic technology switching under risk aversion and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2026_08. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Theodore Panagiotidis or Anastasia Litina (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.uom.gr/index.php?tmima=3 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.