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Waiting after the lower trigger: A Cournot Bertrand real option note

Author

Listed:
  • Elias Asproudis

    (Swansea University, School of Social Sciences, Department of Economics, UK)

  • Eleftherios Filippiadis

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, Greece)

Abstract

We study a perpetual entry problem in which an entrant chooses both when to enter and whether to enter through price or quantity competition against an incumbent that has already committed to quantity. The two entry modes are mutually exclusive and differ in sunk cost and discounted operating-profit coefficient. We focus on the case in which price entry is cheaper, while quantity entry is more profitable. Although price entry may then have the lower stand-alone trigger, crossing that trigger need not justify immediate entry. We provide a sufficient condition under which there exists a nonempty interval above the lower stand-alone trigger on which immediate entry in either mode is suboptimal. The entrant waits because delay preserves the option of entering later through the more profitable quantity mode. Thus, in a Cournot Bertrand environment with uncertainty and irreversibility, the choice of strategic variable is part of the real-options timing problem itself.

Suggested Citation

  • Elias Asproudis & Eleftherios Filippiadis, 2026. "Waiting after the lower trigger: A Cournot Bertrand real option note," Discussion Paper Series 2026_08, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Aug 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2026_08
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    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • D25 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice: Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets

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