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Trends in agricultural and rural development indicators in Zambia

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  • Jayne, T. S.

Abstract

Effective agricultural and food security policies in Africa need to be based on a solid empirical foundation. In Zambia, it is widely perceived that poverty rates are increasing, agricultural growth is stagnant, and real food prices are higher as food production declines. This study examines these trends and finds that all of these perceptions are wrong. Rural poverty rates have declined substantially in rural Zambia since the early 1990s, although they are still unacceptably high. Real staple food prices for consumers have declined by 20% over the past decade, thanks to major reductions in maize milling and retailing margins. And there is evidence of impressive production growth for some crops that are becoming increasingly important sources of income and food security for Zambian farmers, despite evidence of stagnant production for other key crops. This paper examines the relationship between trends in agricultural sector performance and rural poverty in Zambia, the likely factors driving these trends, and the future implications for agricultural policy and investment rate
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  • Jayne, T. S., 2007. "Trends in agricultural and rural development indicators in Zambia," IWMI Working Papers H041609, International Water Management Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:iwt:worppr:h041609
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jayne, T.S. & Zulu, Ballard & Nijhoff, J.J., 2006. "Stabilizing food markets in eastern and southern Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 328-341, August.
    2. Mwiinga, Billy & Nijhoff, Jan J. & Tschirley, David L. & Weber, Michael T. & Jayne, Thomas S. & Arlindo, Pedro & Tembo, Gelson & Shaffer, James D., 2003. "Enabling Small-Scale Maize Marketing and Processing to Assure Supplies of Low-Cost Staples," Food Security International Development Policy Syntheses 11296, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    3. Howard, Julie A. & Mungoma, Catherine, 1996. "Zambia's Stop-And-Go Revolution: The Impact of Policies and Organizations on the Development and Spread of Hybrid Maize," Food Security International Development Policy Syntheses 11274, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    4. Ariga, Joshua & Jayne, Thomas S. & Nyoro, James K., 2006. "Factors Driving the Growth in Fertilizer Consumption in Kenya, 1990-2005: Sustaining the Momentum in Kenya and Lessons for Broader Replicability in Sub-Saharan Africa," Food Security Collaborative Working Papers 55167, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    5. Howard, Julie A. & Mungoma, Catherine, 1996. "Zambia's Stop-And-Go Revolution: The Impact of Policies and Organizations on the Development and Spread of Maize Technology," Food Security International Development Working Papers 54689, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    6. Zulu, Ballard & Nijhoff, Jan J. & Jayne, Thomas S. & Negassa, Asfaw, 2000. "Is the Glass Half-Empty or Half Full? An Analysis of Agricultural Production Trends in Zambia," Food Security Collaborative Working Papers 54458, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    7. Chapoto, Antony & Jayne, Thomas S., 2006. "Trends in Breakfast Meal and Maize Marketing Margins in Zambia," Food Security Collaborative Policy Briefs 54618, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    8. Smale, Melinda & Jayne, T.S., 2003. "Maize in Eastern and Southern Africa: 'seeds' of success in retrospect," EPTD discussion papers 97, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    9. Jayne, T. S. & Jones, Stephen, 1997. "Food marketing and pricing policy in Eastern and Southern Africa: A survey," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1505-1527, September.
    10. Evenson, Robert E., 2001. "Economic impacts of agricultural research and extension," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 573-628, Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mudenda, Ethel Muleya & Phiri, Elijah & Chabala, Lydia M. & Sichingabula, Henry M., 2017. "Water Use Efficiency of Maize Varieties under Rain-Fed Conditions in Zambia," Sustainable Agriculture Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 6(1), February.
    2. Ndashe Philemon Kapulu & Heather Clark & Simon Manda & Harriet Elizabeth Smith & Caroline Orfila & Jennie I. Macdiarmid, 2023. "Evolution of energy and nutrient supply in Zambia (1961–2013) in the context of policy, political, social, economic, and climatic changes," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(2), pages 323-342, April.
    3. C. Haankuku & J.F. Kirsten, 2012. "Improving agricultural competitiveness by setting priorities for investments in crop research: Lessons From Zambia," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 63-80, December.
    4. Maureen Chitundu & Klaus Droppelmann & Steven Haggblade, 2009. "Intervening in Value Chains: Lessons from Zambia's Task Force on Acceleration of Cassava Utilisation," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 593-620.
    5. Kelvin Mulungu & Gelson Tembo & Hilary Bett & Hambulo Ngoma, 2021. "Climate change and crop yields in Zambia: historical effects and future projections," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 11859-11880, August.
    6. Bigsten, Arne & Tengstam, Sven, 2008. "Smallholder Income Diversification in Zambia: The Way Out of Poverty?," Food Security Collaborative Working Papers 54490, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    7. Dorosh, Paul A. & Dradri, Simon & Haggblade, Steven, 2009. "Regional trade, government policy and food security: Recent evidence from Zambia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 350-366, August.
    8. Smith, V. & De Pinto, A. & Robertson, R., 2018. "The Role of Risk in the Context of Climate Change, Land Use Choices and Crop Production: Evidence from Zambia," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277315, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Bigsten, Arne & Tengstam, Sven, 2009. "Renewed Growth and Poverty Reduction in Zambia," Working Papers in Economics 424, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural policy;

    JEL classification:

    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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