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Credit Cyclicality in Chile: A Cross-Country Analysis

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  • Mr. Ludvig Söderling

Abstract

This paper analyzes the determinants of credit cyclicality. It constructs a financial development index and studies whether it affects the amplitude of impulse responses to shocks to output, terms of trade, global liquidity, and global risk appetite. The paper uses both country-specific VARs for cross-country analyses and panel VARs to compare impulse responses between various country groupings. The study finds evidence that financial development-especially stronger creditor rights-can mitigate credit cyclicality, given that the response of credit to output or terms of trade shocks is stronger in countries with weaker financial systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Ludvig Söderling, 2008. "Credit Cyclicality in Chile: A Cross-Country Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2008/055, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2008/055
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Djankov, Simeon & McLiesh, Caralee & Shleifer, Andrei, 2007. "Private credit in 129 countries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 299-329, May.
    2. Micco, Alejandro & Panizza, Ugo, 2006. "Bank ownership and lending behavior," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 248-254, November.
    3. Love, Inessa & Zicchino, Lea, 2006. "Financial development and dynamic investment behavior: Evidence from panel VAR," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 190-210, May.
    4. Galindo, Arturo & Micco, Alejandro, 2001. "Creditor Protection and Financial Cycles," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1341, Inter-American Development Bank.
    5. Matías Braun & Borja Larrain, 2005. "Finance and the Business Cycle: International, Inter‐Industry Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1097-1128, June.
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