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Avian influenza is a deadly disease that can spread rapidly through poultry

  • David Vanzetti

There are many documented cases of transmission from birds to people, but as yet only rare instances of human to human transmission. Nonetheless, public health officials are concerned about the possibility of a human pandemic, and many countries have policies of banning imports of live birds and poultry meat from infected regions. The potential impacts on Indonesia of a production shock, a shift in consumption or a trade ban are assessed using a heterogeneous product model where imports are differentiated by source. Empirical results suggest the likely trade impacts in Indonesia are minimal because its trade is a small share of production.

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Paper provided by International and Development Economics in its series International and Development Economics Working Papers with number idec07-02.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:idc:wpaper:idec07-02
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  1. Paarlberg, Philip L. & Lee, John G. & Seitzinger, Ann Hillberg, 2005. "Economic Modeling of Livestock Disease Outbreaks," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association (IAMA), vol. 8(01).
  2. Peterson, Everett B. & Orden, David, 2004. "Effects of tariffs and sanitary barriers on high- and low-value poultry trade," MTID discussion papers 64, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  3. Simmons, Phil, 2006. "The Effect Of Avian Influenza On Sector 3 Poultry Farms In East Java: Preliminary Results From A Survey," 2006 Conference (50th), February 8-10, 2006, Sydney, Australia 139903, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
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