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The Timing and Magnitude of Exchange Rate Overshooting

Author

Listed:
  • Niklas J. Westelius

    (Hunter College)

  • Mathias Hoffmann

    (University of Cologne)

  • Jens Sondergaard

    (Johns Hopkins University, Department of International Economics (SAIS))

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that a monetary shock induces the exchange rate to over-shoot its long-run level. The estimated magnitude and timing of the overshooting, however, varies across studies. This paper generates delayed overshooting in a New Keynesian model of a small open economy by incorporating incomplete information about the true nature of the monetary shock. The framework allows for a sensitivity analysis of the overshooting result to underlying structural parameters. It is shown that policy objectives and measures of the economy?s sensitivity to exchange rate dynamic a¤ect the timing and magnitude of the overshooting in a predictable manner, suggesting a possible rationale for the cross-study variation of the delayed overshooting phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Niklas J. Westelius & Mathias Hoffmann & Jens Sondergaard, 2007. "The Timing and Magnitude of Exchange Rate Overshooting," Economics Working Paper Archive at Hunter College 418, Hunter College Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:htr:hcecon:418
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate overshooting; Partial information; Learning.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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