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The timing and magnitude of exchange rate overshooting

Author

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  • Hoffmann, Mathias
  • Søndergaard, Jens
  • Westelius, Niklas J.

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that a monetary shock induces the exchange rate to overshoot its long-run level. The estimated magnitude and timing of the overshooting, however, varies across studies. This paper generates delayed overshooting in a new Keynesian model of a small open economy by incorporating incomplete information about the true nature of the monetary shock. The framework allows for a sensitivity analysis of the overshooting result to underlying structural parameters. It is shown that policy objectives and measures of the economy's sensitivity to exchange rate dynamic affect the timing and magnitude of the overshooting in a predictable manner, suggesting a possible rationale for the cross-study variation of the delayed overshooting Phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoffmann, Mathias & Søndergaard, Jens & Westelius, Niklas J., 2007. "The timing and magnitude of exchange rate overshooting," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,28, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:6478
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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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