IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/halshs-03211696.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Informal Economy In Sub-Saharan Africa : Main Drivers And Estimation Of His Size From Ivory Coast
[Economie informelle en afrique subsaharienne : déterminants et estimation en Côte d'Ivoire]

Author

Listed:
  • Anthelme A N'Dri

    (LAMPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Modélisation des Politiques Economiques)

Abstract

In this study, we estimate informal economy for Ivory Coast, country from subsaharan Africa. We did it through revisiting of main drivers of informal economy in this area. We use MIMIC methodology for done this and follow Dell'Anno and al. (2018) to calibrate estimate score of informal economy to informal economy as a percentage of GDP from 1991 to 2018. We found with strong evidence that Public Government spending, inflation, trade openness explains negatively informal economy and taxation rates, unemployment rates explain positively informal economy. This study has its place, and is welcome as it is difficult for government officials to gather data and to take public macroeconomic policy to lead struggle against informal economy which predominates in Ivory Coast economy at 90%. We build a database on informal economy for Ivory Coast from 1991 to 2018. Following our estimation, we found in 2015 that informal economy represents 26,700,000,000 USD.

Suggested Citation

  • Anthelme A N'Dri, 2021. "Informal Economy In Sub-Saharan Africa : Main Drivers And Estimation Of His Size From Ivory Coast [Economie informelle en afrique subsaharienne : déterminants et estimation en Côte d'Ivoire]," Working Papers halshs-03211696, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-03211696
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03211696v2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03211696v2/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Leandro Medina & Mr. Friedrich Schneider, 2018. "Shadow Economies Around the World: What Did We Learn Over the Last 20 Years?," IMF Working Papers 2018/017, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Jean-François Gautier, 2002. "Taxation optimale de la consommation et biens informels," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 53(3), pages 599-610.
    3. Moser, Caroline O. N., 1978. "Informal sector or petty commodity production: Dualism or dependence in urban development?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 6(9-10), pages 1041-1064.
    4. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4578 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Roberto Dell’Anno & Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu & Nguling’wa Philip Balele, 2018. "Estimating shadow economy in Tanzania: an analysis with the MIMIC approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(1), pages 100-113, January.
    6. Jean-François Gautier, 2002. "Taxation optimale de la consommation et biens informels," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 53(3), pages 599-610.
    7. Eghosa Igudia & Rob Ackrill & Simeon Coleman & Carlyn Dobson, 2016. "Determinants of the informal economy of an emerging economy: a multiple indicator, multiple causes approach," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 28(2/3), pages 154-177.
    8. Dennis Nchor & Václav Adamec, 2015. "Unofficial Economy Estimation by the MIMIC Model: the Case of Kenya, Namibia, Ghana and Nigeria," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 2043-2049.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ndoya, Hermann & Okere, Donald & Belomo, Marie laure & Atangana, Melissa, 2023. "Does ICTs decrease the spread of informal economy in Africa?," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(2).
    2. Stephen S. Golub & Janet Ceglowski & Ahmadou Aly Mbaye & Varun Prasad, 2018. "Can Africa compete with China in manufacturing? The role of relative unit labour costs," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(6), pages 1508-1528, June.
    3. Dennis Nchor, 2021. "Shadow economies and tax evasion: The case of the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 43(1), pages 21-37, March.
    4. Ahmadou Aly Mbaye & Nancy Benjamin & Stephen Golub & Jean-Jacques Ekomie, 2014. "The Urban Informal Sector in Francophone Africa: Large Versus Small Enterprises in Benin, Burkina Faso and Senegal," Working Papers 201405, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.
    5. Emmanuel Umoru Haruna & Usman Alhassan, 2022. "Does digitalization limit the proliferation of the shadow economy in African countries? An in‐depth panel analysis," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(S1), pages 34-62, July.
    6. Isaac Ketu & Arsene Mouongue Kelly & Jules-Eric Tchapchet Tchouto, 2024. "Does economic complexity reduce the size of the shadow economy in African countries?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-27, January.
    7. Narciz Balasoiu & Iulian Chifu & Marian Oancea, 2023. "Impact of Direct Taxation on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence Based on Panel Data Regression Analysis at the Level of Eu Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-32, April.
    8. Friedrich Schneider & Mangirdas Morkunas & Erika Quendler, 2021. "Measuring the Immeasurable: The Evolution of the Size of Informal Economy in the Agricultural Sector in the EU-15 up to 2019," CESifo Working Paper Series 8937, CESifo.
    9. Stephen Esaku, 2022. "Institutionalized democracy and the shadow economy in the short- and long-run: empirical analysis from Uganda," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. Musa Abdullahi Sakanko & Joseph David & Nurudeen Abu & Awadh Ahmed Mohammed Gamal, 2024. "Financial inclusion and underground economy nexus in West Africa: evidence from dynamic heterogeneous panel techniques," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-20, February.
    11. Roberto Dell'Anno, 2022. "Theories and definitions of the informal economy: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1610-1643, December.
    12. Hermann Ndoya hegueu & Aristophane Djeufack dongmo, 2021. "Urbanization, Governance and Informal Economy: an African Tale," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1525-1540.
    13. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Binh Nguyen Quang & Thanh Dinh Su, 2023. "Institutional frameworks and the shadow economy: new evidence of colonial history, socialist history, religion, and legal systems," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 50(3), pages 647-675, September.
    14. Mohammed Nayel Abu Alfoul & Ibrahim Naser Khatatbeh & Fouad Jamaani, 2022. "What Determines the Shadow Economy? An Extreme Bounds Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-22, May.
    15. Bennihi, Aymen Salah & Bouriche, Lahcene & Schneider, Friedrich, 2021. "The informal economy in Algeria: New insights using the MIMIC approach and the interaction with the formal economy," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 470-491.
    16. Friedrich Schneider & Mangirdas Morkunas & Erika Quendler, 2023. "An estimation of the informal economy in the agricultural sector in the EU‐15 from 1996 to 2019," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 406-447, March.
    17. Ligita Gasparėnienė & Rita Remeikienė & Colin C. Williams, 2022. "Unemployment and the Informal Economy," SpringerBriefs in Economics, Springer, number 978-3-030-96687-4, October.
    18. Aga,Gemechu A. & Campos,Francisco Moraes Leitao & Conconi,Adriana & Davies,Elwyn Adriaan Robin & Geginat,Carolin, 2021. "Informal Firms in Mozambique : Status and Potential," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9712, The World Bank.
    19. Piotr Dybka & Bartosz Olesiński & Marek Rozkrut & Andrzej Torój, 2023. "Measuring the model uncertainty of shadow economy estimates," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(4), pages 1069-1106, August.
    20. Anda David & Yoro Diallo & Björn Nilsson, 2023. "Informality and Inequality: The African Case," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 32(Supplemen), pages 273-295.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    MIMIC; indirect method; Informal economy; resource mobilization;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-03211696. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.