On the Range of Admissible Term-Structures
In this paper, we analyze the diversity of term structure functions (e.g., yield curves, swap curves, credit curves) constructed in a process which complies with some admissible properties: arbitrage-freeness, ability to fit market quotes and a certain degree of smoothness. When present values of building instruments are expressed as linear combinations of some primary quantities such as zero-coupon bonds, discount factor, or survival probabilities, arbitrage-free bounds can be derived for those quantities at the most liquid maturities. As a matter of example, we present an iterative procedure that allows to compute model-free bounds for OIS-implied discount rates and CDS-implied default probabilities. We then show how mean-reverting term structure models can be used as generators of admissible curves. This framework is based on a particular specification of the mean-reverting level which allows to perfectly reproduce market quotes of standard vanilla interest-rate and default-risky securities while preserving a certain degree of smoothness. The numerical results suggest that, for both OIS discounting curves and CDS credit curves, the operational task of term-structure construction may be associated with a significant degree of uncertainty.
|Date of creation:||01 Apr 2014|
|Note:||View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00968943|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/|
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- T. Clifton Green & Stephen Figlewski, 1999. "Market Risk and Model Risk for a Financial Institution Writing Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1465-1499, 08.
- Ernst Eberlein & Jean Jacod, 1997. "On the range of options prices (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 131-140.
- Hull, John & White, Alan, 1990. "Pricing Interest-Rate-Derivative Securities," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(4), pages 573-592.
- Erik Schlögl & Lutz Schlögl, 1999.
"A Square-Root Interest Rate Model Fitting Discrete Initial Term Structure Data,"
Research Paper Series
24, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Erik Schlogl & Lutz Schlogl, 2000. "A square root interest rate model fitting discrete initial term structure data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 183-209.
- Ernst Eberlein & Sebastian Raible, 1999. "Term Structure Models Driven by General Lévy Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 31-53.
- Masaaki Fujii & Yasufumi Shimada & Akihiko Takahashi, 2009. "A Note on Construction of Multiple Swap Curves with and without Collateral," CARF F-Series CARF-F-154, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, revised Jan 2010.
- Patrick Hagan & Graeme West, 2006. "Interpolation Methods for Curve Construction," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 89-129.
- Mark H. A. Davis & David G. Hobson, 2007. "The Range Of Traded Option Prices," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14.
- Hainaut, Donatien & Devolder, Pierre, 2008. "Mortality modelling with Lévy processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 409-418, February.
- Rama Cont, 2006. "Model Uncertainty And Its Impact On The Pricing Of Derivative Instruments," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 519-547.
- Leif Andersen, 2007. "Discount curve construction with tension splines," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 227-267, December.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00968943. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (CCSD)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.