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Economic consequences of the size of nations, 50 years on

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  • Eloi Laurent

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

In September 1957, the International Economic Association held a conference at The Hague on the "Economic Consequences of the Size of Nations", which proceedings were published in 1960. Fifty years later, while the economic environment has dramatically changed, the issues put forward and discussed in this volume are still largely relevant. The goal of this paper is to assess whether the analytical framework and intuitions of the major contribution of the volume, that of Simon Kuznets, has passed well the test of time. Using a sample of the richest and freer OECD countries, many of the hypotheses made in the 1960 volume and neatly captured by Kuznets are found to be vindicated, as others have to be reformulated: small developed open countries have been able to overcome the "penalties of smallness" thanks to globalization, and large countries have relied on economies of scale to develop an endogenous domestic growth. Both strategies have been successful enough that large and small countries can not be distinguished in terms of their economic performance. Still, their preferred "growth strategy" differ, as their seeming ability to implement structural change. As regards "governance strategy", small nations' homogeneity has been blurred by migration flows and the only fragmentation difference remaining between large and small nations is that of religion diversity. Hence social diversity can not account for the substantially lower governance performance and higher income inequalities observed in large countries, all the more than confidence and trust among citizens do not appear significantly higher in small nations. Finally, the paper briefly explores some new country size related puzzles, unheard of in 1960, that have emerged since then: micro-states, giant states and "embedded states" (i.e. economic regionalization).

Suggested Citation

  • Eloi Laurent, 2008. "Economic consequences of the size of nations, 50 years on," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-00972823, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-00972823
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00972823
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    1. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Eloi Laurent, 2008. "North by Northwest: What’s Wrong with the French Model and How Can the Nordic Model Help," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2008-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    2. Enrico Spolaore & Alberto Alesina & Romain Wacziarg, 2000. "Economic Integration and Political Disintegration," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1276-1296, December.
    3. Eloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2007. "The Irish Tiger and the German Frog: A Tale of Size and Growth in the Euro Area," Working Papers hal-00972692, HAL.
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    6. Cameron, David R., 1978. "The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 72(4), pages 1243-1261, December.
    7. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Eloi Laurent, 2008. "North by Northwest: What's Wrong with the French Model and How Can the Nordic Model Help. The Nordic Model: Solutions for Continental Europe's Problems?", Center for European Studies, Harvard Uni," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01053234, HAL.
    8. Dani Rodrik, 1998. "Why Do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 106(5), pages 997-1032, October.
    9. Robert Read, 2001. "Growth, Economic Development and Structural Transition in Small Vulnerable States," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2001-59, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    10. Easterly, William*Kraay, Aart, 1999. "Small states, small problems?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2139, The World Bank.
    11. Alesina, Alberto & Spolaore, Enrico & Wacziarg, Romain, 2005. "Trade, Growth and the Size of Countries," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 23, pages 1499-1542, Elsevier.
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    2. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/6146 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Eloi Laurent, 2008. "North by Northwest: What’s Wrong with the French Model and How Can the Nordic Model Help," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2008-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    4. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/9717 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Eloi Laurent, 2008. "Hawk and handsaws: What can France learn from the "Nordic Model"?," Working Papers hal-00972824, HAL.
    6. Éloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2010. "Taille des pays et stratégies de croissance," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 171-190.
    7. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Eloi Laurent, 2008. "North by Northwest: What's Wrong with the French Model and How Can the Nordic Model Help. The Nordic Model: Solutions for Continental Europe's Problems?", Center for European Studies, Harvard Uni," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01053234, HAL.
    8. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/6146 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/10050 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/10050 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Grech, Aaron George, 2013. "Adapting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for Very Small Open Economies," MPRA Paper 48803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/9717 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09h95chf5k8 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Fritz Breuss, 2013. "Die Größe der Kleinen in der EU," WIFO Working Papers 452, WIFO.
    15. Brito, Joao, 2015. "Country Size and Determinants of Economic Growth: A Survey with Special Interest on Small States," MPRA Paper 61273, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/9717 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/10050 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Xu, Aiting & Qiu, Keyang & Jin, Canyang & Cheng, Caijuan & Zhu, Yuhan, 2022. "Regional innovation ability and its inequality: Measurements and dynamic decomposition," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    OECD; country size; growth strategy; governance strategy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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