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Quelles règles de pilotage pour un système de retraite à rendement défini?

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  • Antoine Bozio

    (PSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

  • Simon Rabaté

    (IPP - Institut des politiques publiques, Centraal Planbureau)

  • Audrey Rain

    (IPP - Institut des politiques publiques)

  • Maxime To

    (IPP - Institut des politiques publiques, UCL - University College of London [London], Institute for Fiscal Studies)

Abstract

Cette étude vise à simuler un système de retraite fonctionnant en points, dans l'optique de la réforme en préparation visant à l'instauration d'un régime universel en points. L'objectif de ce rapport est de se concentrer sur la définition des règles de pilotage du système. En particulier, quelles sont les règles d'or du système qui devraient faire l'objet d'engagements forts de la part du législateur pour garantir les droits de retraite ? Dans quelle mesure une partie du pilotage peut faire l'objet de décisions plus flexibles, au fil de l'eau ? La méthodologie de ce travail repose sur une analyse théorique et la simulation de chocs démographiques et économiques afin d'étudier les conséquences pour la soutenabilité du système et le niveau des pensions, de différentes règles de pilotage. Il s'agit de soumettre le système de retraite à des stress test, à l'instar des tests de résistance bancaire simulés par les banques centrales.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Bozio & Simon Rabaté & Audrey Rain & Maxime To, 2019. "Quelles règles de pilotage pour un système de retraite à rendement défini?," PSE Working Papers halshs-02514738, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-02514738
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-02514738
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Yves Dubois & Anthony Marino, 2015. "Le taux de rendement interne du système de retraite français : quelle redistribution au sein d’une génération et quelle évolution entre générations ?," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 481(1), pages 77-95.
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    1. Baurin, Arno & Hindriks, Jean, 2023. "Intergenerational consequences of gradual pension reforms," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

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